The latest update to this website was at 838pm Tuesday (HST)

 

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands as of Tuesday evening:

1.14  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
1.45  Schofield East, Oahu
0.41  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.04  Lanai City, Lanai
1.25  Puu Kukui, Maui
0.81  Kawainui Stream, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) as of Tuesday evening:

23  Waimea Heights, Kauai – ESE
24  Kuaokala, Oahu – NE 
27  Molokai AP, Molokai – E
24  Lanai 1,  Lanai – NE
40  Na Kula, Maui – SE
28  Kealakomo, Big Island – ENE

Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live webcams on the summit of our tallest mountain Mauna Kea (~13,800 feet high) on the Big Island of Hawaii, and atop the Haleakala Crater (~10,023 feet) on Maui. These webcams are available during the daylight hours here in the islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see the stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.

 

https://weather.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_gwdisk11_1070_100.jpg

Big Blue…click twice for largest version

 

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES18/ABI/SECTOR/tpw/13/GOES18-TPW-13-900x540.gif

The next cold front northwest

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/satellite/Hawaii_IR_loop.gif

Variable low clouds…one long lasting area of higher clouds are moving away…while the next is approaching from the northwest

 

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/HAWAII_loop.gif

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHKI_loop.gif

https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/PHKM_loop.gif

  Showers locally 

 

Please open this link to see details on the current Watches, Warnings and Advisories noted above

 

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

 

Glenn’s Tuesday comments:  I’m here at home in upper Kula, Maui

It’s mostly cloudy early this morning here at my location, with a low temperature of 57 degrees, and the relative humidity is 84%.

450pm, it’s partly to mostly cloudy here in Maui County, with our atmosphere rather hazy late this afternoon.

630pm, cloudy here in upper Kula with a light sprinkle falling, the temperature here at my weather tower is 63.1 with the relative humidity 75%

 

Weather Wit of the day:  I can’t believe how slippery it is. I just drove seventeen miles and never left the driveway.

 

>>> Highest Temperature Tuesday, March 3, 2026 – 100 at Rio Grande Village, TX
>>> Lowest Temperature Tuesday, March 3, 2026 – minus 14 at Berlin, NH

 

Hawaii’s Broad Brush Weather Overview…as of 829pm Tuesday:  Surface high pressure will continue to build northeast of the state through Wednesday, bringing locally breezy easterly trade winds. Brief passing showers will favor windward and mountain areas, mainly during the overnight and early morning hours.

Late Wednesday through this weekend, trade winds will ease slightly and veer to a more east-southeast direction, shifting shower activity over east and southeast facing slopes of most islands. However, overall rainfall amounts are expected to remain limited. An approaching front may bring unsettled wet weather by early to mid next week.

Short Term Update…as of 829pm Tuesday:  Satellite loops show a scattering of cirrus clouds spreading slowly west to east over the island chain. Meanwhile, in the lower levels, some low level cumulus caught in the trades were noted moving quickly westward. The atmospheric soundings at Hilo and Lihue both indicated a rather shallow inversion height, somewhere between 5,000 to 6,000 feet. This has acted to put a lid on shower activity with isolated coverage at best. Only a handful of sites picked up a few hundredths of an inch of rainfall along windward locations of the smaller islands. The greatest coverage of showers continues to be over the Kohala mountain range in northwestern Big Island where rainfall totals, have approached half an inch.

The pattern will change very little through Wednesday, as a area of surface high pressure remains anchored to the northeast of the state, and will continue to drive moderate to locally breezy easterly trades.

Hawaii’s Weather Details…as of 321pm Tuesday:  Satellite imagery shows a much drier scene, with abundant sunshine across the state and only limited low clouds and isolated light showers moving into windward and mountain areas. Although the trade flow remains primarily out of the east, the low-level steering flow is beginning to take on a slight southerly component, as evidenced by clouds and showers moving more parallel to the island chain in an east-southeast direction.

High pressure to the northeast of the state will continue to build through mid-week, bringing increased stability and strengthening trades through Wednesday. Limited clouds and light showers will generally favor windward and mountain areas through this period, especially during the overnight to early morning hours, along with the Kona slopes of the Big Island during the afternoon hours. By Thursday, winds will veer out of a more east-southeast direction, as a cold front approaches from the northwest.

In this pattern, showers will favor southeast and east facing slopes of the Big Island and Maui, along with interior portions of the other islands, due to the development of sea breezes in the lighter, somewhat blocked flow. Model guidance remains in good agreement through this period, showing this front stalling just to the west of the state, as its parent low shoots off to the far northwest.

The evolution of weather features in the Pacific becomes less clear over the weekend as model spread increases. The GFS and the ECMWF both show a deep mid- to upper-level trough developing northwest of the state, spawning a surface low to the west-northwest. Strengthening southerly flow between that low and high pressure to our northeast could draw deep tropical moisture (with precipitable water values near 2 inches) toward or over the western end of the state early to mid next week.

 

Here’s a near real-time Wind Profile of the Pacific Ocean – Zoom Earth – along with a Closer View of the islands / Vog map animation / 8-Day Precipitation model

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/hfo/graphics/npac.gif 

 

Hawaii’s Marine Environment…as of 321pm Tuesday:  Building surface high pressure north of the islands will strengthen and drift northeast through the week, bringing moderate to locally strong east to east-southeast winds through Wednesday. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) is currently in effect for the windier waters and channels around Maui County and the Big Island. As the winds veer, the SCA will expand to add Maui County and Big Island windward waters through Wednesday afternoon. Looking towards the ending of the week, winds look to veer to the east-southeast and weaken slightly as a upper trough and surface front approach from the northwest.

The current moderate medium period northwest swell is gradually declining and will continue to trend down through the rest of the week. The next small to moderate northwest swell looks to build in Saturday and hold through the weekend. Surf along east facing shores will remain choppy as fresh trade winds redevelop and expand upstream of the state. This will keep surf along exposed east-facing shores somewhat elevated.

Surf along south-facing shores will remain small to tiny, with no significant swells forecast for at least the next several days.

A Coastal Flood Statement has been issued through Wednesday morning, due to the peak monthly high tides combined with water levels that are running higher than predicted. This may lead to minor flooding along the shoreline and in low-lying coastal areas. Coastal flooding is expected around the daily peak tide early in the mornings.

 

Paia Fruit and Farm Stand - Maui Yoga and Dance Shala



World-wide Tropical Cyclone Activity

 

Atlantic Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Caribbean Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Gulf of America:  There are no active tropical cyclones

 

Northeastern Pacific:  There are no active tropical cyclones

North Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

 

Northwest Pacific Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Southwest Pacific Ocean: 

Tropical Cyclone 24P…located at approximately 331 NM east-northeast of Cairns, Australia

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/24P_040000sair.jpg

North Indian Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

South Indian Ocean:  There are no active tropical cyclones

Arabian Sea:  There are no active tropical cyclones

 

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

>>> Here’s a link to the Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC Global) Weather Wall website

 

Interesting:  Mapping the Future of Wildfires in a Warming World

How can scientists better assess the effects of a warming climate on wildfire behavior, fire risk, and long-term fire trends? A new review co-authored by Yale School of the Environment senior science researcher Jennifer Marlon outlines how climate change is reshaping wildfire patterns worldwide. The review, published in Science Advances, also details why understanding these shifts is essential for forecasting future risks.

“We’re seeing landscape fires increasingly threaten human health and property in ways that demand urgent attention,” Marlon said.

The paper, “Gazing into the flames: A guide to assessing the impacts of climate change on landscape fire,” brings together research from wildfire scientists across Australia, Europe, Canada, and the United States to focus on “the art and science” of projecting climate change impacts on landscape fire, including how fire’s drivers and impacts are modeled and how projections of the climate system are developed. Drawing on decades of fire research, satellite observations, climate model projections, and landscape fire modeling, the authors argue that traditional approaches fall short unless they integrate ecological, climatic, and human drivers.

Read More: Yale University