Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Friday…along with the minimums Friday:

87 – 76  Lihue, Kauai
89 – 76  Honolulu, Oahu
91 – 71  Molokai
93 – 73  Kahului, Maui – the record high temperature Friday was 96…back in 1953
90 – 78  Kailua Kona
87 – 73  Hilo, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of  Friday evening:

1.00  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.29  Waihee Pump, Oahu
0.06  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.06  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.95  Kaupo Gap, Maui
2.33  Saddle Quarry, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Friday evening:

22  Barking Sands, Kauai – SE
27  Bellows, Oahu – NE
28  Molokai – ENE
25  Lanai – NE
37  Kahoolawe – NE
32  Kahului AP, Maui – SE
29  Upolu AP, Big Island – NE

Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_ir_enh_west_loop-12.gif
Exceptionally strong Hurricane Hilda is heading in the
general direction of the Hawaiian Islands

Here’s a real time wind profile of Hilda and our islands

 

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/2015/graphics/EP102015W.gif
Hurricane Hilda has now moved into our central Pacific,
and is a very significant storm…taking a course that is
more or less similar to recent Guillermo

 

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/vis.jpg
Category 3 hurricane Hilda is well to our east-southeast


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09E/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif
Clouds associated with former Guillermo are moving
through the state today…with some towering cumulus
or thunderstorms offshore to the north of Kauai


http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif
Most of the showers are over the ocean…with
a couple of locally heavy downpours southwest
looping radar image

 

Small Craft Advisory…for waters around Maui County
and the Big Island

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~



The trade winds are returning now, and will prevail through the first couple of days of the new work week ahead. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find two moderately strong high pressure systems to the north and northeast of the state. At the same time we have the remnant low pressure system of Guillermo moving away offshore to the west-northwest. By the way, if you’re seeing volcanic haze where you live, that’s being carried overhead by southeast breezes on the backside of Guillermo. The more classic trade winds will fill back in over the state, first over the Big Island and Maui, in the wake of Guillermo’s passage. Looking ahead, our trades will last until Hilda gets closer to our area, and then its still a question as to what influence she will have on our local wind conditions…stay tuned.

Guillermo’s associated clouds will depart soon…as this former tropical system migrates westward away from our islands. Radar indicates that showers are falling here and there, a few of which are still locally quite heavy over the ocean southwest of the islands.  The remnant moisture of this departing system will thin out soon, as ex-Guillermo moves further west…his influence will wane soon. As the trade winds return we’ll see just a normal amount of passing showers along our windward coasts and slopes…with nice weather prevailing along our leeward beaches. The wild card next week is what kind of weather change Hurricane Hilda, which will probably have been downgraded to a tropical storm as it approaches the state, will have in store for us…stay tuned.

Hurricane 10E (Hilda) remains active in the eastern Pacific Ocean…and is now a major category 3 hurricane! Category 3 hurricanes have winds that range between 111 and 129 mph. Hilda has sustained winds of 115 mph…with gusts to near 138 mph. This system will continue to strengthen a little more through the next 12 hours or so. Here’s a satellite image, and what the computer models are showing. It appears that this tropical cyclone, in whatever form that it takes next week, will impact our weather conditions in the later Wednesday through Friday morning time frame.

It now looks likely that Hilda may come close enough to the Aloha state, to bring us a definite change in our local weather conditions.  It’s too early to know the exact details, although looking at the situation from here, we could find rough surf impacting our northeastern shores, potentially tropical storm or tropical depression force winds and rainfall. As we all know, these outlooks can and do change with time, as we saw with recent Guillermo…so please stay tuned for additional updates  / Meanwhile, there’s yet another tropical disturbance in the eastern Pacific, being referred to as Invest 93E, here’s what the computer models are showing for it.

I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Friday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.

Here on Maui…It’s 535am Friday morning, skies are partly cloudy, with cloudy areas…and falling showers locally. The air temperature here in Kula, at my upcountry weather tower was a relatively warm 63 degrees, while it was 74 down at the Kahului airport, 77 out in Hana…with a cooler 48 up at the summit of the Haleakala Crater at about the same time. / At 835am rather thick volcanic haze (vog) has drifted over Maui County! / Now at 11am here in upcountry Kula, it’s lightly raining.

– We’re into the early afternoon now, and the thick volcanic haze is still definitely over us. There are lots of clouds, especially gathering around the mountains, with a few showers here and there…nothing widespread by any means. I must admit, that my attention is more and more being pulled towards the east-southeast, as hurricane Hilda comes into more direction focus. I’ll have plenty more to say about this next situation, through the next week…stay tuned.

– It’s early evening now, and just before I head downtown to see this film, described below…I still lots of thick volcanic haze over Maui. It’s so thick that I can barely see the West Maui Mountains from here in Kula! This sometimes happens during the winter months, although its rare in the summer. As the trade winds get going soon, they will help to ventilate our local atmosphere, although not necessarily for you folks down on the Big Island I’m afraid.

Friday Evening Film: I’m happy to report that I saw another film, which is such a treat, after a long week of rather intense weather work. Seeing these films each week with my friends is very fun for me, one of my favorite outside activities! My friends Jeff, Svetlana and I will be seeing the new film called Irrational Man, starring Joaquin Phoenix, Emma Stone, Jamie Blackley, Meredith Hagner and Parker Posey…among many others. The synopsis: when a burned-out, brilliant professor – one who believes in lessons from life rather than textbooks – takes a job at a small college, everyone there is abuzz. He becomes involved with a teacher as well as a precocious student, but it takes a dramatic, existential act to turn his life around and make him see the world through a much rosier and more positive perspective. Woody Allen directed and wrote this film.

This was a rather intense film, ranging between light and airy, to downright murderous. Obviously Woody Allen continues to pump out these very interesting films, and this one was no exception. I’ve seen many of his films, and I typically find them entertaining, sometimes very…and other times more luke warm. The acting was rather good this time around, not exceptional, although very good at times. We remarked that through the film we all noticed that Woody Allen was woven through…giving his famous touch to situations along the way. I very much enjoyed the dynamics between Joaquin Phoenix and very attractive Emma Stone. It was not a boring film, and Svetlana thought very highly of it, giving an impressive A+ grade! Jeff and I were both a little reluctant to go that high, although thought enough of it to give B+ ratings. If you’re curious…here’s the trailer.


World-wide tropical cyclone activity:

>>> Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones

>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days over the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea or Atlantic Ocean

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific:  There are no active tropical cyclones

1.)  A broad trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. While some development of this system is still possible, it is becoming more likely that it will reach cooler water and encounter unfavorable upper-level winds before becoming a tropical cyclone.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Here’s a satellite image of this area in the eastern Pacific – along with the NHC 5-day outlook

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Central Pacific:  

Hurricane 10E (Hilda) remains active, with sustained winds of 115 mph, and is located about 950 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Hurricane 10E will continue to strengthen going forward, topping out at near 125 mph winds this weekend. Here’s the CPHC graphical track map, a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing.

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:
 
Typhoon 13W (Soudelor) remains active, located about 123 NM west-southwest of Taipei, Taiwan. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map…and a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing.

Tropical Storm 15W (Molave) remains active, located about 108 NM north-northeast of Iwo To, Japan. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map…and a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing.

>>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones


>>> North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


Interesting:  History of Agriculture Revealed – Open any history book and you’re likely to find that the practice of agriculture was invented 12,000 years ago in the Levant, an area in the Middle East that was home to some of the first human civilizations. But a new discovery recently made in Northern Israel seems to have shattered the myth on the advent of agriculture, offering up exciting evidence that trial plant cultivation, what we call agriculture, began far earlier – some 23,000-years-ago.

Researchers from Israel’s Tel Aviv, Bar-Ilan and Haifa Universities, with participation from Harvard, recently uncovered the first weed species at the site of a sedentary human camp on the shore of Israel’s Sea of Galilee, the location where prehistoric communities cultivated the first plants for human consumption.

“While full-scale agriculture did not develop until much later, our study shows that trial cultivation began far earlier than previously believed, and gives us reason to rethink our ancestors’ capabilities,” TAU’s Prof. Marcelo Sternberg said in a statement. “Those early ancestors were more clever and skilled than we thought.”

‘Our ancestors were more clever and skilled than we thought’

Though weeds are typically considered a threat or nuisance in contemporary farming, their presence at the site of the findings revealed the earliest signs of trial plant cultivation — some 11 millennia earlier than conventional historical thought regarding the onset of agriculture.

The site, which was built by fisher-hunter-gatherers, was found to be unusually well-preserved, having been charred, covered by lake sediment, and sealed in low-oxygen conditions — ideal for the preservation of plant material. Hence, weed species and harvesting tools found at the site provide clear evidence of early farming.

“This uniquely preserved site is one of the best archaeological examples worldwide of the hunter-gatherers’ way of life,” Sternberg says.

Prehistoric plant cultivation

The site bears the remains of six shelters and a particularly rich assemblage of plants. Upon retrieving and examining 150,000 plant specimens, the researchers determined that early humans there had gathered over 140 species of plants. These included 13 known weeds mixed with edible cereals, such as wild emmer (wheat), wild barley, and wild oats.