Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Wednesday…along with the low temperatures Wednesday:
86 – 73 Lihue, Kauai
85 – 71 Honolulu, Oahu
85 – 74 Molokai AP
85 – 73 Kahului AP, Maui
86 – 73 Kona AP
83 – 70 Hilo AP, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (in inches) for each of the islands…Wednesday evening:
0.32 Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.72 Tunnel RG, Oahu
0.33 Molokai
0.00 Lanai
0.00 Kahoolawe
0.95 West Wailuaiki, Maui
0.79 Saddle Quarry, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…Wednesday evening:
36 Port Allen, Kauai
39 Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
21 Molokai
30 Lanai
24 Kahoolawe
27 Maalaea Bay, Maui
29 Kealakomo, Big Island
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
Very late summer…heading into very early autumn soon
Lots of clouds in our vicinity…with thunderstorms far southwest, south and southeast / we see what’s left of old tropical cyclone Orlene to our northeast…with its showery tail dragging behind it to the south and southeast
Partly cloudy…with cloudy areas in many areas
Increasing showers locally…mostly windward and mountains – Looping radar image
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Moderately strong trades…easing up some Thursday into the weekend. Here’s the latest weather map, showing moderately strong high pressure systems to our northwest and far northeast. At the same time, we have a low pressure trough east of the state. Our early autumn trade winds will ease up a touch or two through the weekend. The trade winds will then rebound early next week. This increase will occur thanks to an early season cold front, which will swing by to our north and away. As this frontal boundary, and a trough over us lose their influence, space will open up for the trade winds to become at least moderately strong…if not a bit stronger than that.
Here’s a wind profile…of the offshore waters around the islands – with a closer view
Here’s the Hawaiian Islands Sulfate Aerosol animated graphic – showing vog forecast
Low clouds with embedded showers carried by the wind, will affect us at times…mainly windward and mountain locations. Showers will also reach over into the leeward sections on the smaller islands at times. Speaking of showers, we’ll see an increase now into the weekend. The first part of this increase will be associated with the remnants of former tropical cyclone Orlene. Following in the wake of this first round of showers will be a trailing area of moisture Thursday into the weekend. Meanwhile, an early season cold front will approach the state Saturday, although won’t dip down into our area. Looking even further ahead, as we push into early next week, we’ll find improving conditions…although the windward biased showers will continue in an off and on manner.
Marine environment details: Winds and seas are expected to remain below the advisory threshold for the next few days. First the trough moving over the area from the east, and then the front approaching from the northwest, will keep the winds from getting too strong. Locally strong trade winds are expected to return early next week as a strong new high moves into position north of the area.
Surf will remain below the advisory thresholds on all shores. There will be a moderate south swell Thursday, and a small northwest swell is possible over the weekend.
Autumn began this morning…with weather changes on the horizon
World-wide tropical cyclone activity…
>>> Atlantic Ocean:
Tropical Depression 12L (Karl) remains active, located approximately 525 miles south-southeast of Bermuda. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing
Tropical Storm 13L (Lisa) remains active, located approximately 710 west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, a satellite image…and what the computer models show
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean: No active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: No active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Eastern Pacific: No active tropical cyclones
1.) A large area of disturbed weather located about 850 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a broad area of low pressure. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday, and conditions appear favorable for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days. This disturbance is forecast to move toward the northwest and then northward during the next several days.
Here’s a satellite image of this area, being referred to as Invest 94E…along with what the computer models are showing
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
2.) Showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak area of low pressure located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii remain poorly organized. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves slowly westward during the next few days.
Here’s a satellite image of this area, being referred to as Invest 95E…along with what the computer models are showing
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Central Pacific: No active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
>>> South Pacific Ocean: No active tropical cyclones
>>> North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea: No active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: Arctic Sea Ice Extent in 2016 Ties as Second Lowest in The Satellite Record – Arctic sea ice extent shrank to 1.6 million square miles earlier this month — tying 2016 with 2007 as the second lowest sea ice minimum since satellite records began.
The lowest year remains 2012. The new measurements follow a decades-long trend of declining sea ice extent in the Arctic as global temperatures rise.
According to NASA, “September Arctic sea ice is now declining at a rate of 13.4 percent per decade, relative to the 1981 to 2010 average.”
The ten lowest sea ice extents have all happened in the last ten years. Since 2016 is considered likely to be the warmest year on record, scientists had anticipated an even worse year for sea ice.
Although, “unusually cool, cloudy conditions” in the region for much of the summer helped reduce ice melt, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said.
Kerstin Says:
Aloha Glen,
Thanks for maintaining the best weather website for the islands 🙂 just wondering why there’s always a comma shaped area of precipitation off the SE corner of Hawaii island?? & id like to kindly request that you bring back the wind direction to go along with the highest gusts.. If no can, no problem 😉
~~~ Hi Kerstein, thank you for your positive feedback, the best weather website…wow!
You ask about that, what looks like area of precipitation off the southeast corner of the Big Island. Actually, it isn’t rain, but rather sea spray being picked up by the low beam on the radar. This usually shows up when the trade winds are quite strong and gusty.
As for wind directions, hmmmm…I could do it, I’ve done it before, as obviously you know. The truth is that it’s just one more thing to do, many, many times each day. Considering how many readers would actually be that interested, or find it that essential, to see what direction the trade winds are blowing, especially during the summer and early autumn months…is probably minimal.
I appreciate your asking, and will likely get back into doing this later in the year, when the wind directions are more changeable.
Thanks very much for your comments!
Aloha, Glenn