Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Saturday…along with the minimums Saturday:
82 – 77 Lihue, Kauai
86 – 75 Honolulu, Oahu
84 – 65 Molokai
86 – 68 Kahului AP, Maui
87 – 77 Kailua Kona AP
85 – 73 Hilo, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Saturday evening:
0.04 Lihue, Kauai
0.15 Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
1.01 Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00 Lanai
0.04 Kahoolawe
0.39 Kahakuloa, Maui
0.55 Laupahoehoe, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Saturday evening:
23 Mana, Kauai – NW
23 Kuaokala, Oahu – NNE
20 Molokai – N
18 Lanai – NE
18 Kahoolawe – NE
20 Maalaea Bay, Maui – NNE
29 Kealakomo, Big Island – NNW
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
Category 1 Hurricane 19E (Olaf) remains active
to the east-northeast of Hawaii / 90 mph winds
Here’s a wind profile…of the offshore waters
around the islands – with a closer view
Hurricane Olaf track map…very interesting how the
path away turns back towards the southwest, from the
current northeasterly direction! Nonetheless, the storm
is forecast to be downgraded to a tropical depression and
then a post-tropical remnant low pressure system as this
move back in our direction occurs…I consider it of no threat
Close up view of Hurricane Olaf which is beginning to
feel some wear and tear…from wind shear aloft – although
Olaf certainly has an eye today
Weakening Hurricane Olaf…remains a safe distance offshore
Clear to partly cloudy, just a few cloudy areas locally…mostly
along the windward sides, although a few elsewhere
A few showers around – looping radar image
High Surf Advisory…south and east shores of
all the Hawaiian Islands except Kauai
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Our north-northeasterly winds will be light for the most part. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find high pressure systems to the west through northeast of the state. At the same time, we find low pressure systems far to our north and northeast. There’s a cold front draping southwest from a gale low far to our northwest…which is slowly approaching the state. The current weather pattern will continue, with our local winds coming in from the north-northeast to northeast. As we push into the new week, our winds will remain breezy from the north to northeast, bringing somewhat cooler air into the state for a few days…associated with the weak cold front that will slip down into the state. Trade winds will start up by mid-week for a few days, followed by southeast breezes, carrying volcanic haze across some parts of the state next weekend.
We’ll find a few showers falling over the islands…although generally dry weather will continue. The leeward sides will remain nice and sunny to partly cloudy, and warm during the days. The windward sides will find an occasional shower, most generously during the night and early morning hours. Looking ahead, as we get into the first couple of days of the new week, we’ll see a frontal cloud band arriving…with a modest increase in passing showers. Accompanying these bands, we’ll find slightly cooler north to northeasterly breezes for a day or two. Typical trade wind weather conditions will then follow for a several days. The latest models continue to suggest we’ll see a trough of low pressure with its cold front, arriving later next week. This may bring a moist and unstable air mass into the state, with the possibility of locally heavy showers.
Here on Maui…It’s 545am Saturday morning with mostly clear skies. Here at my Kula weather tower this morning before sunrise, the air temperature was 53.8 degrees, compared to the 68 degree reading down at the Kahului airport in contrast.
– We’re into the early afternoon, and it’s yet another mostly sunny dry day, which our autumn weather is famous for. It feels like summer, despite what the calendar shows, especially down along our beaches at sea level.
– We’ve pushed into the early evening hours, with continued mostly sunny weather…along with a slightly cool northerly breeze. Glancing around from here in Kula, there just aren’t than many clouds to see, with nary a shower in sight.
I’ll be back with many more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Saturday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
World-wide tropical cyclone activity:
>>> Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Eastern Pacific:
1.) An elongated area of low pressure centered about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while the low moves erratically during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Central Pacific:
Hurricane 19E (Olaf) remains active in the central Pacific Ocean, located 755 miles east-northeast of Hilo, Hawaii, with sustained winds of 90 mph. Here’s the CPHC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this system…and what the computer models are showing
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
>>> North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: Newly discovered large asteroid will make flyby on Halloween – A large near-Earth asteroid named 2015 TB145, discovered on October 10 by the University of Hawaii’s Pan-STARRS1 Telescope atop Haleakala, Maui, will pass close to Earth on October 31. The asteroid has a diameter of approximately 1,300 feet, and will pass within approximately 300,000 miles of Earth. There is no possibility of this object impacting Earth.
The asteroid is already being studied by telescopes across the planet, and soon will be targeted by radar observations that will look for details as small as 6.5 feet on its surface. The radar observations will directly measure its size and shape, and determine whether the object has any satellites.
When it comes closer to Earth, it will brighten to approximately 10th magnitude, which means that amateur astronomers with small telescopes should be able to see it as it moves quickly across the sky.
The asteroid has an unusual orbit that is highly inclined relative to the ecliptic plane that contains the Earth, sun, other major planets, and most asteroids. The orbit is also highly elliptical (oval), which means that after passing Earth, the asteroid will go closer to the sun than to Mercury before going back out to the outer part of its orbit, where it spends most of its time, about four times as far from the sun as Earth is. The unusual orbit of this object made it difficult to discover — the last time that it came close to Earth was approximately 30 years ago.
The search for near-Earth objects by the Pan-STARRS telescopes is funded by the NASA Near Earth Object Observations program.
Founded in 1967, the Institute for Astronomy (IFA) at the University of Hawaii at Manoa conducts research into galaxies, cosmology, stars, planets, and the sun. Its faculty and staff are also involved in astronomy education, deep space missions, and in the development and management of the observatories on Haleakala and Mauna kea. The Institute operates facilities on the islands of Oahu, Maui, and Hawaii.”
Jon Says:
Aloha Glenn,
We are just wrapping up another wonderful visit to Oahu – what a perfect week of beach weather! Olaf even treated us to some larger than usual waves on the South shore.
Have a great time with your family and friends in California.
Jon
~~~ Hi Jon, excellent news, nothing like a great vacation here in the islands, with perfect weather, and even some nice breaking waves ta boot! Glad things turned out this way for you.
Thanks for your well wishes concerning my upcoming vacation to California, I’m really looking forward to it!
Aloha, Glenn
Jay Says:
It looks like the remnants of Patricia are emerging and flaring up on the other side of. Mexico in the ocean over there. It is not considered a named storm over there because it is not spinning?
just wondering. have a good trip and nice vacation.
~~~ Hi Jay, good to hear from you again. Patricia isn’t showing up as an area under investigation by the NHC. Yes, former Patricia isn’t spinning, and doesn’t have organized convection, thus the named aspect of this former powerful is gone, in the record books so to speak.
As we can see, there is an area of thunderstorms in the Gulf of Mexico: http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/GULFIR.JPG
I checked the Brownsville, TX forecast discussion, and after rains tonight, improving weather takes over later Sunday into Monday.
So, I don’t see anything brewing from now retired Patrica at the time of this writing.
Good question, and thanks for your well wishes on my upcoming vacation!
Aloha, Glenn
mary buchheim Says:
Aloha Glenn,
Your mention of your trip reminded me, how is your brother doing?
Hope you enjoy your trip to the mainland and your visit with your Mom.
Mary
~~~ Hi Mary, good to hear from you as usual. My Brother is doing fine, still working and living in Texas. It looks like he will be dealing with very rainy weather for the next several days!
Thank you for your well wishes on my upcoming vacation, which starts this coming Wednesday afternoon. I’m looking forward to seeing my Mom and Sisters…along with many friends too!
Aloha, Glenn