Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Friday…along with the minimums Friday:
82 – 70 Lihue, Kauai
88 – 73 Honolulu, Oahu
84 – 70 Molokai
87 – 68 Kahului AP, Maui
88 – 75 Kailua Kona AP
85 – 70 Hilo, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Friday evening:
0.04 Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.23 Manoa Lyon Arboretum, Oahu
0.16 Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00 Lanai
0.00 Kahoolawe
0.48 Kahakuloa, Maui
0.29 Kawainui Stream, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Friday evening:
14 Mana, Kauai – NNE
29 Kuaokala, Oahu – N
18 Molokai – NNW
18 Lanai – NW
27 Kahoolawe – NNE
17 Maalaea Bay, Maui – NNE
27 Kealakomo, Big Island – N
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
Category 3 Major Hurricane 19E (Olaf) remains active
to the east of Hawaii / 120 mph winds
Here’s a wind profile…of the offshore waters
around the islands – with a closer view
Hurricane Olaf track map
Close up view of Hurricane Olaf
Powerful Hurricane Olaf…a safe distance east
Clear to partly cloudy, just a few showers locally…mostly
along the windward sides, although a few elsewhere –
hurricane Olaf to the east of the Big Island
Just a few showers – looping radar image
Small Craft Wind Advisory…windiest coasts and
channels around the Big Island
High Surf Warning…east shores of the Big Island
High Surf Advisory…east shores of Maui – south
shores of Kauai, Oahu, Molokai, Maui, and the
Big Island
SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE OLAF WILL PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING SURF ALONG
EAST FACING SHORES OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS INTO THIS WEEKEND
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Our north-northeasterly winds will be light to moderately strong…gradually weakening into the weekend. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find high pressure systems to the west, north and northeast of the state. At the same time, we find low pressure systems far to our northwest and northeast. There’s a cold front draping southwest from a storm to our northeast…the tail-end of which is to the north of Hawaii. The current weather pattern will continue through the weekend, with our local winds becoming lighter from the north to northeast. As we push into the new week ahead, our winds will remain breezy from the north to northeast…bringing somewhat cooler air into the state for a few days in the wake of a weak cold front. Trade winds will start up by mid-week, followed by southeast breezes, carrying volcanic haze across some parts of the state next weekend.
We’ll find just a few showers falling over the islands, mostly along our windward sides…with relatively dry weather through the weekend. The leeward sides will remain nice and sunny to partly cloudy, and warm during the days. The windward sides will find those occasional passing showers, most generously during the night and early morning hours…right through weekend. Looking further ahead, as we get into the first couple of days of the new week, we’ll see a cold front arriving, ushering in cooler north to northeasterly breezes in its wake for a day or two…with a modest increase in passing showers Tuesday. The latest models suggest we may see a trough of low pressure arriving later next week. This trough will bring a moist and unstable air mass into the state, as well as locally heavy showers…with a possible thunderstorm.
Here on Maui…It’s 545am Friday morning with mostly clear skies. Here at my Kula weather tower this morning before sunrise, the air temperature was a cool 52 degrees, compared to the warmer 70 degree reading down at the Kahului airport in contrast. There are clouds stretched out along the windward sides too…with a few showers falling.
– We’re into the early afternoon now, and our winds continue to be more out of the north than usual. Here in Kula, we’re having a relatively cool day, with fog blowing in this afternoon, and even some drizzle and light showers. The air temperature is 70.6 just outside my weather tower, according to my outdoor temperature sensor…with a warmer 85 degrees under mostly sunny skies down in Kahului at the same time. / Now at 245pm, skies are clearing, with partly cloudy conditions now…and the drizzly stuff has ended.
– We’ve pushed into the early evening, and skies are mostly clear, although there are low clouds being pushed through the central valley towards Kihei…by the cool northerly breezes. I expect it to be a little chilly tonight, although as long as the breezes remain active, temperatures won’t fall all that much. I must admit that I’m getting a little excited about my upcoming California vacation, as I’ll be with my friends Bob and Linda this time next week.
I’ll be back with many more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Friday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
World-wide tropical cyclone activity:
>>> Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Eastern Pacific:
Tropical Depression 20E (Patricia) remains active inland over Mexico, located 95 miles northeast of Zacatecas, Mexico, with sustained winds of 35 mph. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this system…and what the computer models are showing
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
1.) An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles south or south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula during the next couple of days. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while the low moves slowly toward the east-northeast or northeast early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Central Pacific:
Hurricane 19E (Olaf) remains active in the central Pacific Ocean, located 640 miles east of Honolulu, Hawaii, with sustained winds of 120 mph. Here’s the CPHC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this system…and what the computer models are showing
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Tropical Storm 25W (Champi) remains active in the northwest Pacific Ocean, located 250 NM north of Minami Tori Shima, with sustained winds of 69 mph. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this system…and what the computer models are showing
>>> North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: Newly discovered large asteroid will make flyby on Halloween – A large near-Earth asteroid named 2015 TB145, discovered on October 10 by the University of Hawaii’s Pan-STARRS1 Telescope atop Haleakala, Maui, will pass close to Earth on October 31. The asteroid has a diameter of approximately 1,300 feet, and will pass within approximately 300,000 miles of Earth. There is no possibility of this object impacting Earth.
The asteroid is already being studied by telescopes across the planet, and soon will be targeted by radar observations that will look for details as small as 6.5 feet on its surface. The radar observations will directly measure its size and shape, and determine whether the object has any satellites.
When it comes closer to Earth, it will brighten to approximately 10th magnitude, which means that amateur astronomers with small telescopes should be able to see it as it moves quickly across the sky.
The asteroid has an unusual orbit that is highly inclined relative to the ecliptic plane that contains the Earth, sun, other major planets, and most asteroids. The orbit is also highly elliptical (oval), which means that after passing Earth, the asteroid will go closer to the sun than to Mercury before going back out to the outer part of its orbit, where it spends most of its time, about four times as far from the sun as Earth is. The unusual orbit of this object made it difficult to discover — the last time that it came close to Earth was approximately 30 years ago.
The search for near-Earth objects by the Pan-STARRS telescopes is funded by the NASA Near Earth Object Observations program.
Founded in 1967, the Institute for Astronomy (IFA) at the University of Hawaii at Manoa conducts research into galaxies, cosmology, stars, planets, and the sun. Its faculty and staff are also involved in astronomy education, deep space missions, and in the development and management of the observatories on Haleakala and Mauna kea. The Institute operates facilities on the islands of Oahu, Maui, and Hawaii.”
Nichols Says:
Wanted you to know how beautiful and well done the National Geographic video is. The music accompanying the video also so nice. Mahalo for including it on your daily site. Mahalo for the rare treat. Lee
~~~ Hi Lee, I’m so pleased that you enjoyed it, as did a couple of others, including my Mom. I don’t put things like that on my site unless I feel they are special, and yes…the music fit perfectly too.
Thank you very much for your praise, I appreciate that!
Aloha, Glenn
Robert Says:
Glenn,
Sure are interesting stats you published. The dry season in Hawaii sure wasn’t dry, esp September. I was astounded at the number of hurricanes in the area. Global warming deniers will still find a way to try and refute what is happening. I will be on Maui again in February, will be interesting to see if the forecast drier winter there eventuates.
~~~ Hi Robert, good to hear from you, and I totally agree…the summer dry season was anything but dry!
This hurricane season has been even busier than the NWS expected, and they had forecast some bigger numbers than normal…almost double in fact.
It will be interesting to see if this major El Nino can bring the expected way drier weather than normal our way. Time will tell, although I’ve see droughts occur every time a strong or even moderately strong El Nino occurs in the past.
Have a good vacation here in February, it should be a good winter for the visitor industry…and of course visitors!
Aloha, Glenn
Tonya Says:
Hey Glenn,
Hope you have been well. I’ve been checking in from time to time watching the crazy Hawaii weather. Our trip from when there were 3 hurricanes lurking nearby you guys was postponed to next week so we’ll be flying out your way Wednesday. Needless to say I’ve been checking your site for weather updates. I’m very VERY concerned, afraid, scared, sad for the people in Mexico. It’s breaking my heart. I too am sending well wishes and saying prayers for them.
~~~ Hi Tonya, good to hear from you again, as you finally get to come to Hawaii…after having to postpone your previous trip.
Fortunately hurricane Olaf will be giving Hawaii a pass to the east. This year we have had so many storms in our area, so far so good…hopefully things will stay this way.
Yes, Mexico is going to get slammed, but good! Nasty storm, strongest storm ever on our planet Earth, and we’re around to see what kind of destruction it makes. Like you said, our hearts go out to everyone in Patricia’s path!
You get here this coming Wednesday, and I leave on my vacation on the same day. I hope you have a terrific time here in Paradise, with great weather!
Aloha, Glenn
Eliza Says:
Strange weather here in Upper Pukalani, Glenn. Nice morning light, followed by a cane burn cloud zipping by on the breezes. Now we’ve had a rain cloud hovering but nothing releasing for a while. Light drizzle started about 5 min ago and that’s stopped here, but there’s a low rainbow down the hill, coz the sun is out. None of this moisture is on the radar. hahaha
Trust you are well. Enjoy your evening movie.
~~~ Hi Eliza, interesting weather there in Pukalani, although way less interesting than what’s about to hit the Mexican coast soon!
Category 5 (should it actually be a cat 6 or 7?) with winds gusts almost reaching 250 mph. This is the strongest, or at least tying the strongest hurricane ever to occur here on Earth!
I feel for all those people who will be in harms way…this thing just got stronger and stronger and stronger, over a short period of time. People are going to get hurt, along with animals and birds, and all manner of life will suffer through this unprecedented blast!
Sending whatever luck I can to that part of the world. The storm will wind down pretty fast, at least from its current furious levels. However this storm will cross Mexico, or at least some form of it, and likely bring windy and very rainy weather to parts of our southern United States too.
The world of weather is really getting a kick in the pants, what with this year’s El Nino!
Aloha, Glenn
robie Says:
great summary glenn.
what a summer!
your the bomb…….
hey, can you post your paypal info
i would like to make a contribution.
thanks
~~~ Hi Robie, good to hear from you, and thanks for your positive feedback about my website!
I’m flattered that you would like to contribute, as you obviously get value from my work. Thinking back, my last fund raiser was back in 2007, which was very successful.
However, and I might be making a mistake here, although I think I’d prefer to keep dishing out this weather information free of charge. It feels so good to do it this way!
Aloha, Glenn