Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Wednesday…along with the minimums Wednesday:
87 – 78 Lihue, Kauai
92 – 79 Honolulu, Oahu – tied the record high temperature Wednesday…set back in 1994
91 – 75 Molokai
93 – 74 Kahului, Maui – tied the record high temperature Wednesday…set back in 1949
90 – 79 Kailua Kona
87 – 75 Hilo, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Wednesday evening:
0.84 Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.23 Punaluu Stream, Oahu
0.08 Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00 Lanai
0.00 Kahoolawe
0.14 Ulupalakua, Maui
1.02 Glenwood, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Wednesday evening:
20 Poipu, Kauai – NE
27 Kuaokala, Oahu – NE
27 Molokai – ENE
27 Lanai – NE
29 Kahoolawe – NE
31 Kahului AP, Maui – NE
29 Kealakomo, Big Island – N
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
Tropical Storm Hilda remains active in our area of the
central Pacific…and has quickened her pace westward
Here’s a real time wind profile of Hilda and our islands
Hilda will move by well south of the Big Island
TS Hilda will drop down into the tropical depression
category soon – meanwhile high cirrus clouds have
moved over the state in places
Tropical Storm Hilda is located about 210 miles south-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii, the clouds to the north of Hilda, will bring
showers to parts of the state…especially windward areas
Tropical Storm Hilda continues being attacked by wind shear
aloft…and is now definitely being decoupled, with the lower
level separated from the upper level…to the right of the center
Showers are impacting the islands locally
looping radar image
High Surf Advisory…east shores of Maui and the Big Island
Tropical Storm Warning…far southeast offshore waters
Tropical Storm Watch…leeward waters around the Big Island
Small Craft Wind Advisory…windiest coasts and channels
around Maui and the Big Island
Flash Flood Watch…for the Big Island – starting this
morning…through 6am Saturday
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
The trade winds will continue…as Hilda moves by to our south. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find a moderately strong high pressure system to the north-northeast of the state. At the same time we see the approach of tropical storm Hilda not far to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Our trades will range between gentle to moderately strong over the next several days. We may find our trade wind speeds becoming rather blustery, especially around the Big Island and Maui…as Hilda spins by safely to our south over the next couple of days. Looking beyond Hilda, we should shift back into a fairly normal trade wind weather pattern this weekend into next week. However, these trade winds will carry more than the ordinary amount of moist air our way, although weather conditions won’t be too much different…than what climatology would call for this time of year.
We’ll see occasional passing showers…along our windward coasts and slopes for the most part. The leeward sides will have fewer showers, with hot summer weather prevailing during the days…remaining warm at night. Tropical depression Hilda will be moving by south of the the Big Island, which will bring an increase in clouds and showers, to that island…and possibly for other parts of the state locally. This weather event isn’t going to be a threat, at least in terms of dangerously strong winds, although there’s a good chance that it will bring rainfall to some parts of the state. This precipitation may be heavy, enough to cause localized dangerous flooding here and there on the Big Island end of the chain. As Hilda passes, we’ll find sultry weather following in her wake, with off and on passing showers…focused most intently along our windward sides.
Tropical Storm 10E (Hilda) will move by south of the Big Island…as a less dangerous tropical depression. Tropical depressions have sustained winds that are less than 39 mph. Hilda currently has sustained winds of 40 mph…with gusts to near 52 mph. The forward progress, moving westward, has picked up to 9 mph. Here’s a satellite image, and what the computer models are showing. It appears that this tropical cyclone will influence our local weather conditions the most…today into Friday. At the time of this writing, Hilda still has an impressively large area of deep convection, located just off to the right of the low level circulation center.
According to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center:
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
SURF…SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM HILDA WILL PRODUCE LARGE SURF ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST FACING SHORES OF PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.
RAINFALL…HILDA MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG AND NORTH OF ITS PATH. THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS INTO SATURDAY.
I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Wednesday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
Here on Maui…It’s 540am Wednesday morning, skies are mostly clear, although with the usual clouds banked-up against the windward sides. The leeward beaches around Kihei and Lahaina, are totally clear. The air temperature here in Kula, at my upcountry weather tower was 59.2 degrees, while it was 76 down at the Kahului airport, 77 out in Hana, 70 over in Kaupa Gap…with a cooler 50 up at the summit of the Haleakala Crater at about the same time.
– We’re into the afternoon hours now, under a mix of clouds and sunshine. The trade wind breezes have accelerated a little, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see them get stronger over the next couple of days. Here in Kula, at my place, we had a very short little shower, which lasted about 2 minutes…with big drops, and bringing a little cool air down from above. / Now at 420pm, skies are mostly cloudy, and it appears we have some volcanic haze in our atmosphere here on Maui now.
– It’s now early evening, and looking down into the central valley, from up here in Kula, I can still see volcanic haze. At the same time, we have lots of higher level cirrus clouds overhead, in addition to lots of lower level clouds as well. The cirrus may light up a nice pink or orange tonight, keep an eye out. Unfortunately, the Perseid Meteor Shower tonight will be masked by all the clouds around the state now, I’m disappointed…as this is being billed as one of the best of the year!
World-wide tropical cyclone activity:
>>> Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days over the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea or Atlantic Ocean
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Eastern Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones
1.) A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are favorable for a tropical cyclone to form from this system over the weekend or early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well offshore the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
Here’s the NHC 5-day outlook
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Central Pacific:
Tropical Storm 10E (Hilda) remains active, with sustained winds of 40 mph, and is located about 210 miles south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Here’s the CPHC graphical track map, a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing.
Here’s a satellite image, of Hilda described above
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Tropical Storm 15W (Molave) remains active, with sustained winds of 46 mph, and is located about 777 miles east-southeast of Misawa, Japan. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map…and a satellite image
JTWC textual warning
JTWC graphical track map
NOAA satellite image
>>> North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: Here comes the Perseid meteor shower! – Quite possibly the best meteor shower of the year — the Perseids — will be coming to a sky near you tonight.
“If you see one meteor shower this year, make it August’s Perseids or December’s Geminids,” NASA says. “The Perseids feature fast and bright meteors that frequently leave trains, and in 2015 there will be no moonlight to upstage the shower.”
There could be as many as 80 meteors per hour at the peak of the shower, NASA added, noting it’s among the brightest of all such meteor events. Plus they can be enjoyed during summer’s warmth, unlike the often nippy nights during the Leonids of November or Geminids of December.
“This major shower takes place during the lazy, hazy days of summer, when many families are on vacation,” EarthSky.org Bruce McClure said.
Additionally, there won’t be any significant distracting moonlight, as the moon will only be a thin crescent in the sky.
The Perseids can be best seen during the pre-dawn hours from Tuesday through Aug. 14, according to Earthsky.org, with the best show on Aug. 13.
Meteor showers are named for the constellation out of which they appear to come, said Vincent Perlerin of the American Meteor Society. Look for the constellation Perseus in the northeastern portion of the sky. It’s just to the left of the Pleiades, the Seven Sisters constellation.
No special equipment is needed to enjoy this nighttime spectacle, just a dark sky and some patience. “Remember, your eyes can take as long as 20 minutes to truly adapt to the darkness of night,” McClure said. “So don’t rush the process.”
The meteors are actually tiny dust and particles from the tail of the comet Swift-Tuttle as it orbits around the sun. The particles, many no bigger than a grain of sand or a pea, disintegrate high up in our atmosphere after making a brilliant flash of light, the American Meteor Society said.
Sherry Says:
Hi, Glenn
It seems to me that every tropical cyclone that comes our way from the east dissipates, for the most part, from wind shear before reaching us here on Maui. Historically, from which direction has Maui seen the worst storms come?
~~~ Sherry, good to hear from you, thanks for your question. The truth is that since records have been kept, Maui has only been hit by one tropical storm, which was called the Kohala storm. It struck the Kohala District on the Big Island as a hurricane, before crossing the Alenuihaha Channel…and impacting Maui as a TS (1872). There’s never been a hurricane that has hit Maui or Oahu, which is pretty impressive. And yes, these upper level shearing winds, the subtropical jet stream winds, is our primary protector from approaching tropical cyclones. Some years, although not so much this year, due to El Nino, cooler sea surface temperatures to our east and southeast also help to stave-off these storms. Aloha, Glenn
MAui-Tom Says:
Glenn, do you anticipate getting much in the way of rain from Hilda?
~~~ Hi MAui-Tom, less likely for everyplace except the Big Island, although you know that things can change…as they always seem to do these days. I sure hope Maui County gets ah little something at least, after all this hype! Aloha, Glenn
Andrew Says:
Great site, Glenn! Should we be worried about rain keeping us indoors too long for our Oahu North Shore trip 8/13-20? Want to get the most out of this trip!!!
~~~ Hi Andrew, good question, and the shortest possible answer is NO…absolutely not! Have a great time on Oahu’s north shore, don’t forget to spend some time down in Waimanalo…I love that beach. Aloha, Glenn