Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Tuesday…along with the minimum temperatures Tuesday:

80 – 68  Lihue, Kauai
80 – 66  Honolulu, Oahu
76 – 67  Molokai AP
81 – 64  Kahului, Maui
85 – 68  Kailua Kona
80 – 67  Hilo, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Tuesday evening:

0.44  Mount Waiaeale, Kauai
0.06  Nuuanu Upper, Oahu
0.37  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.22  Puu Kukui, Maui
0.91  Kawainui Stream, Big Island


The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Tuesday evening:


27  Port Allen, Kauai
27  Waianae Valley, Oahu
24  Molokai
31  Lanai
27  Kahoolawe
27  Kaupo Gap, Maui
30  Waikoloa, Big Island


Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.



Aloha Paragraphs

 

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/ir4.jpg


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/hi/ir4.jpg


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Our trade winds will be locally strong and gusty, although
gradually lighter over the next few days, with fair weather
conditions on our leeward sides…light to moderately heavy
windward showers

Small Craft Wind Advisory…all coastal and channel waters

High Surf Warning…east shores of the main Hawaiian Islands




~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~









The trade winds will continue to be active through the end of this week…gradually moderating in strength mid-week onwards. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find moderately strong high pressure systems in the area north, and far northeast of our islands…along with a third to the northwest. At the same time, we have a gale low pressure system to the northeast. Gusty northeast winds will continue to move over the islands…while small craft wind warnings remain active over all marine zones around the state. Moderately strong trade winds will likely continue through the rest of this week, then potentially becoming much lighter right after the weekend.
 
Low level clouds remain in place to our north through east, which will impact our windward sides at times…with generally light to moderately heavy showers. Here’s the looping radar image showing showers falling over the nearby ocean, which are impacting our windward sides locally. The leeward sides of the islands will continue to have generally fair weather, with just minor shower activity here and there at times. There’s a large area of high cirrus clouds to our west, which will shift over our area Wednesday for several days…providing great colors at sunset and sunrise. In sum: continued trade winds, increasing high clouds, off and on passing windward showers, with fewer showers along our leeward sides…through the end of the week. I’ll be back with updates on all of the above, I hope you have a great Tuesday night wherever you happen to be spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.

High Surf Warning…east facing shores – EXPECT WAVES TO OCCASIONALLY REACH LOW-LYING COASTAL ROADWAYS BRINGING SAND AND DEBRIS. VERY STRONG BREAKING WAVES AND STRONG LONG SHORE AND RIP CURRENTS ARE POSSIBLE. BREAKING WAVES MAY OCCASIONALLY IMPACT HARBORS MAKING NAVIGATING THE HARBOR CHANNEL DANGEROUS.


World-wide tropical cyclone activity:





>>> Atlantic Ocean: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.



Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean 

>>> Caribbean Sea: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.



>>> Gulf of Mexico:  The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.





Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico. 



>>> Eastern Pacific: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2014 North Pacific hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2015. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.



Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.



Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) 



>>> Central Pacific:  The central north Pacific hurricane season has officially ended. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2015. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued as conditions warrant.





Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)



>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean: Typhoon 22W (Hagupit) remains active, moving by to the south of Guam…and then between Palau and Yap. Here’s a JTWC graphical track map…along with a NOAA satellite image. 



  >>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones


>>> North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


 


Interesting:  New Report Shows Little Hope of Reaching ‘Sustainable Population’ in Next Century – According to recent projections, the number of people living on Earth could exceed ten billion by the end of this century. Now, a new study has examined what it would take to reverse that unrelenting growth and achieve a sustainable population that is less threatening to biodiversity and ecosystems around the world. Short of a global catastrophe, scientists say, the only way to halt this population momentum is to institute a planet-wide one-child policy within a few decades.





 The new study comes on the heels of a statistical projection released in September. It analyzed U.N. data from July and calculated how likely population is to end up in different ranges. In particular, it found an 80 percent chance for a population between 9.6 billion and 12.3 billion by century’s end, with the most likely figure at around 10.9 billion.



 That number is not sustainable, according to Corey Bradshaw, a biologist at the University of Adelaide in Australia.



 “Things like forest elephants? Kiss ’em goodbye. Tigers in India? They’re gone,” Bradshaw told mongabay.com.



 Bradshaw and his Adelaide colleague, Barry Brook, examined whether it’s possible to rein in population growth in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. They found that without draconian limits on the number of children per family, population growth is “virtually locked in.”



 The researchers studied computer models of population over the next century, focusing particularly on how different parameters—or levers—affected their models.



 “We’re not out there trying to predict there will be X number of people on the planet as of 2100,” Bradshaw said. “What we didn’t really know is the strength of the different levers one can pull.”



 Bradshaw and Brook pulled on three levers. First was fertility: the average number of children women have. Next was mortality: the likelihood that people die by a certain age. And the last was primiparity: the average age at which women have their first child. They modeled “what if?” scenarios that adjusted these levers. 



For instance, in a scenario that kept levers at 2013 levels, they found that population reached 10.42 billion by 2100, right in the middle of the statistical projections released in September. In a scenario the authors dubbed “realistic,” they cut mortality in half by 2100 to model improving diets and the availability of medicine. Additionally, they shifted primiparity to older ages and lowered fertility from its 2013 value of 2.37 children per woman to 2. Their model still predicted 10.35 billion people by 2100, a negligible difference in terms of sustainability.



To model what would happen if all governments globally restricted families to just one child, they examined two scenarios: smoothly reducing global fertility to 1 child by 2100, or more aggressively by 2045. In the former case, the population peaked in the middle of the century and then declined to around seven billion by 2100. In the more draconian case, population by 2100 shrank more quickly, ending at 3.45 billion.



Even this last figure is still bigger than some estimates of a sustainable human population, which fall between one and two billion. Those numbers are difficult to estimate because they depend heavily on social and technological developments, as well as how much people consume. But what’s clear is that population won’t even begin to approach these numbers in the coming decades, short of utter catastrophe.



“Our point was merely that in the short term our biggest gains in sustainability will be held by reducing per capita consumption, although underneath all that we must also reduce population,” Bradshaw said. “It will just take a lot longer to achieve.”



The point was well made, said biologist Thomas Lovejoy of George Mason University in Virginia, who coined the term “biological diversity” in the 1980s.