Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Sunday
87 Lihue, Kauai
88 Honolulu, Oahu
84 Molokai
89 Kahului, Maui
88 Kailua Kona
87 Hilo, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Sunday evening:
1.40 Wailua, Kauai
2.20 Hawaii Kai Golf Course, Oahu
0.68 Puu Alii, Molokai
0.28 Lanai
0.01 Kahoolawe
0.83 Puu Kukui, Maui
1.65 Glenwood, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Sunday evening:
14 Mana, Kauai
16 Kalaeloa, Oahu
13 Molokai
15 Lanai
20 Kahoolawe
10 Kapalua, Maui
20 Kohala Ranch, Big Island
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
We find a cold front to the northwest with thunderstorms, while
showery clouds developed over the interior of the islands, as they
will again Monday and Tuesday afternoons…with tropical storm
Simon weakening far east towards Mexico
Light southeasterly breezes, accompanied by volcanic haze (vog) and
sultry conditions – it may take until Wednesday before light to perhaps
moderately strong trade winds return for several days – helping to push
the haze away then
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Our winds will remain on the light side into the new week…with light to moderately strong trades returning during the second half of the week. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find a moderately strong near 1024 millibar high pressure system to the northeast…with a ridge running southwest over the islands. There’s a low pressure system to the north, with associated cold front…although it won’t reach our islands. The presence of this frontal boundary however, will keep our trade wind producing high pressure ridge over the islands, thus the light winds. The closest low pressure system and cold front, will veer our light breezes to the southeast over the next several days. These light southeasterly breezes will bring volcanic haze and muggy conditions our way. There’s a deep storm low pressure far to the northwest too, which is generating a large swell train of waves in our direction…arriving here in Hawaii later in the new week.
Satellite imagery shows clear to partly cloudy skies, with cloudy skies over the interior sections. Looking at this larger looping satellite image, it shows clouds and showers along the cold front to our northwest…along with high clouds over the Big Island and southward. Here’s the looping radar, showing light to moderately heavy showers falling…with some heavy ones too. The light winds over our area, in conjunction with the daytime heating of the islands, will prompt more afternoon interior clouds, with heavy showers…localized flooding here and there. This muggy weather pattern, with volcanic haze, clear mornings with cloudy and locally rainy conditions during the afternoons, will continue for the next several days. I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Sunday night wherever you happen to be spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
Friday Evening Film: There are several good looking films that have arrived here on Maui. I thought I was taking a big chance, although I went to see one of them on opening night. It’s one that looked very engaging, called Gone Girl, starring Rosamund Pike, Ben Affleck, Tyler Perry, Neil Patrick Harris, Kim Dickens…among many others. The synopsis: directed by David Fincher and based upon the global bestseller by Gillian Flynn – unearths the secrets at the heart of a modern marriage. On the occasion of his fifth wedding anniversary, Nick Dunne (Ben Affleck) reports that his beautiful wife, Amy (Rosamund Pike), has gone missing. Under pressure from the police and a growing media frenzy, Nick’s portrait of a blissful union begins to crumble. Soon his lies, deceits and strange behavior have everyone asking the same dark question: Did Nick Dunne kill his wife? ~~~ The critics in general are giving this film a high 86% rating, while the audiences are giving it an even higher 93%. I joined my neighbors Jeff and his girlfriend Svetlana, and another lady friend of ours for this viewing, It turned out to be very good, with what I thought were outstanding performances. It was entertaining to the maximum degree…a deep running thriller to say the least. It was disturbing and compelling at the same time, the kind of film that draws you in, and keeps you on the edge of your seat throughout. Part of the great appeal of this film was how handsome Ben Affleck is…and how very attractive Rosamund Pike is! As for grades, from the four of us: A-, A-, A-, and I gave it a straight up A rating. Here’s the trailer if you’d like to take a peek.
Total Lunar Eclipse visible in Hawaii – October 7-8
World-wide tropical cyclone activity:
>>> Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm 19E (Simon) remains active, located approximately 235 miles southwest of Punta Eugenia, Mexico…with sustained winds of near 45 mph. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
>>> Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean: Tropical Storm 18W (Phanfone) is dissipating, located approximately 201 NM south-southeast of Misawa AB, Japan …with sustained winds of near 69 mph. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image – Final Warning
Typhoon 19W (Vongfong) remains active, located approximately 886 NM southeast of Kadena AB…with sustained winds of near 104 mph. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image
>>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: How do we know an extreme weather event might be caused by climate change? – Nowadays, when there’s a killer heat wave or serious drought somewhere, people wonder: Is this climate change at work? It’s a question scientists have struggled with for years. And now there’s a new field of research that’s providing some answers. It’s called “attribution science” – a set of principles that allow scientists to determine when it’s a change in climate that’s altering weather events — and when it isn’t.
The principles start with the premise that, as almost all climate scientists expect, there will be more “extreme” weather events if the planet warms up much more: heat waves, droughts, huge storms.
But then, there have always been periodic bouts of extreme weather on Earth, long before climate change. How do you tell the difference between normal variation in weather — including these rare extremes — and what climate change is doing?
That sort of discernment is difficult, so scientists have had a rule, a kind of mantra: You can’t attribute any single weather event to climate change. It could just be weird weather.
Then they took a close at last year’s heat wave in Australia.
The chances that the continent’s extreme temperatures reflected normal variation is “almost impossible,” says Peter Stott, a climate scientist at the Hadley Center of the Met Office, in Exeter, Great Britain. “It’s hard to imagine how you would have had those temperatures without climate change,” he says.
Stott is one of a group of researchers analyzing the patterns of “extreme weather” events in the past and comparing them with the patterns Earth is experiencing now. The intensity of last year’s Australian heat wave was statistically “off the charts,” he says. Climate change had to be behind it.
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