Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Sunday:

86 Lihue, Kauai
89 Honolulu, Oahu
86 Molokai
89 Kahului, Maui
88 Kailua Kona
85 Hilo, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Sunday evening:

1.28  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.08  Kamananui Stream, Oahu
0.03  Kamalo, Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.15  Puu Kukui, Maui
0.71  Glenwood, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Sunday evening:

27  Port Allen, Kauai
32  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
40  Molokai
38  Lanai
32  Kahoolawe
15  Hana, Maui
28  Upolu AP, Big Island


Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.



Aloha Paragraphs




http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/ir4-animated.gif


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/hi/ir4.jpg

We find increasing clouds and showers approaching the Big Island…
with more to come…spreading westward across the state


These showers, becoming heavier rains and thunderstorms locally,
will arrive first on the Big Island, then the other islands…turning
drier later Tuesday


The trade winds will remain moderately strong and gusty

There’s the chance that a tropical cyclone, now being referred to as
Invest 95C, may move close to Hawaii by the weekend…these computer
 models show the possible forecast tracks

Small Craft Wind Advisory…for gusty trade winds – windiest
coasts and channels around Maui County and the Big Island


Winter Weather Advisory…Big Island summits – noon today
until 6am Tuesday



~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~




Trade winds will remain moderately strong and gusty…then gradually easing up a little through the new work week. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find a dissipating near 1022 millibar high pressure system to the northeast, with a ridge extending west-southwest from its center…well to the north of the state. We have a new high pressure cell far to the north-northwest, which is moving southeast…which will continue the trade winds. There’s a gale low pressure system far to the north-northeast, with a cold front stretching south and southwestward from its center. At the same time, we find a trough of low pressure well to the south of Hawaii…along  a possible tropical cyclone located well to the southeast. Our trade winds will remain active through most of the next week.
Satellite imagery shows clear to partly cloudy skies…with increasing clouds over the ocean to our northeast and east. Looking at this larger looping satellite image, it shows an area of developing thunderstorms over the ocean well to the east-southeast…which may develop into a tropical cyclone later in the new week. Closer to the islands, we see rain bearing cumulus clouds forming to our east, which are moving in our direction. Here’s the looping radar, showing light to moderately heavy showers falling in places tonight…generally along the windward sides. The forecast continues to show that these windward showers will increase, and become locally heavy in some places into Monday, first on the Big Island…then spreading to other parts of the islands. This will occur due to the arrival of both an upper level low pressure, with its cold air aloft, and an influx of moisture…combining forces. We may see some flooding level rains occurring in places, and if so, please drive carefully on the way to work Monday. I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Sunday night wherever you happen to be spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.

Friday Evening Film: Hi, this time around I went to see one of the many films that are currently showing here on Maui, one that I hadn’t planned on seeing. My neighbors Jeff and Svetlana want to see this film, so I decided to see it with them. It’s called The Maze Runner, starring Dylan O’Brien, Will Poulter, Aml Ameen, Kaya Scodelario, and Ki Hong Lee…among many others. Here’s the synopsis: When Thomas wakes up trapped in a massive maze with a group of other boys, he has no memory of the outside world other than strange dreams about a mysterious organization known as W.C.K.D. Only by piecing together fragments of his past with clues he discovers in the maze can Thomas hope to uncover his true purpose and a way to escape. Based upon the best-selling novel by James Dashner.

~~~ I must admit that I wasn’t terribly excited to see this film, although as Jeff pointed out to me, the credits and the audience were pretty happy with it. So, I was willing to sit through it, and found it to be reasonably entertaining. However, I must say, I wasn’t all that taken with this film, and it was actually one of my least favorite of the year perhaps. As we discussed after seeing the film, all three of us were surprised at how disappointed we were with this presentation. I’m going to be fairly generous and give The Maze Runner a B-, as I found it not all that interesting, and actually quite dull in many places. Here’s the trailer for this film if you’re interested in checking it out, and it’s pretty intense…what else is new!


World-wide tropical cyclone activity:


>>> Atlantic Ocean: Tropical storm 07L (Fay) remains active, located approximately 740 miles east-northeast of Bermuda…with sustained winds of near 60 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing

Tropical storm 08L (Gonzalo) is now active, located approximately 10 miles northwest of Antigua…with sustained winds of near 65 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing


Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones


>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones


Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico.

>>> Eastern Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones


Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.


Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)


>>> Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones


Showers and thunderstorms associated with a surface low centered about 1025 miles east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii have continued to become better organized tonight. Environmental conditions remain conducive for additional development of this disturbance as it moves toward the west northwest at about 10 mph, and a tropical depression may form later today or tonight. Here’s what the computer models are showing.


* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent


Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)


>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean: Tropical Storm 19W (Vongfong) remains active, located approximately 217 NM west-southwest of Yokosuka, Japan…with sustained winds of near 46 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image


>>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones

>>> North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

 

Interesting: Fish Forced Poleward – Large numbers of fish will disappear from the tropics by 2050, finds a new University of British Columbia study that examined the impact of climate change on fish stocks. The study identified ocean hotspots for local fish extinction but also found that changing temperatures will drive more fish into the Arctic and Antarctic waters.


Using the same climate change scenarios as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, researchers projected a large-scale shift of marine fish and invertebrates. In the worst-case scenario, where the Earth’s oceans warm by three degrees Celsius by 2100, fish could move away from their current habitats at a rate of 26 kilometers per decade. Under the best-case scenario, where the Earth warms by one degree Celsius, fish would move 15 kilometers every decade. This is consistent with changes in the last few decades.


“The tropics will be the overall losers,” says William Cheung, associate professor at the UBC Fisheries Center and co-author of this study, published today in ICES Journal of Marine Science. “This area has a high dependence on fish for food, diet and nutrition. We’ll see a loss of fish populations that are important to the fisheries and communities in these regions.”


Cheung and his colleague used modeling to predict how 802 commercially important species of fish and invertebrates react to warming water temperatures, other changing ocean properties, and new habitats opening up at the poles.


“As fish move to cooler waters, this generates new opportunities for fisheries in the Arctic,” says Miranda Jones, a UBC Nereus Fellow and lead author of this study. “On the other hand it means it could disrupt the species that live there now and increase competition for resources.”