Air Temperatures – The following high temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Monday…along with the low temperatures Monday:

83 76  Lihue, Kauai
87 – 72  Honolulu, Oahu
8363  Molokai
88 – 68  Kahului AP, Maui
85 75  Kona Int’l AP
8365  Hilo AP, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands as of Monday evening:

0.05  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.12  Makaha Stream, Oahu
0.00  Molokai
0.00  L
anai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.00  Maui
0.60  Waiaha, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) as of Monday evening:

21  Port Allen, Kauai
22  Honolulu AP, Oahu
29  Molokai
24  Lanai
36  Kahoolawe
29   Kahului AP, Maui

32  Puu Mali, Big Island

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live webcam on the summit of our tallest mountain Mauna Kea (nearly 13,800 feet high) on the Big Island of Hawaii. This webcam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see the stars — and the sunrise and sunset too — depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

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A cold front northwest of the islands…will approach Hawaii Friday

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No threatening weather systems in our central Pacific…at the moment

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Clear to partly cloudy…with thick high cirrus over the Big Island

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Just a few showers locally…mostly dry –
Looping radar image

Small Craft Advisory…locally strong east-southeast winds around Big Island waters

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

 

A ridge of high pressure to the north of the islands will maintain east-southeast winds through Thursday. Limited shower activity is expected through Tuesday, most of which will be focused along the east to southeast sides of the islands. As we push into Wednesday, and on into the weekend time frame, increasing showers are expected…with the potential for a period of unsettled weather.

This upcoming weather change beginning Wednesday, will be the result of a deepening upper level trough of low pressure…approaching the islands from the northwest. The trough, along with its pool of cold air aloft, will edge closer to the islands. In turn, the atmosphere will become less stable, leading to increased showers, some of which will be locally heavy…with a slight chance of thunderstorms.

Meanwhile, the ridge of high pressure to our north breaks down, as a cold front approaches the islands Friday. The trades will carry some passing showers through Wednesday. Increasing showers are possible Wednesday night and Thursday, with a trend toward an unsettled weather pattern Friday, lingering into the weekend. A surface low may form along the surface trough near the islands…which could further enhance some of these showers.

Here’s a wind profile of the Pacific Ocean – Closer view of the islands / Here’s the vog forecast animation / Here’s the latest weather map

Marine environment details: The waters around the Big Island remain under the small craft advisory through tonight due to strong east-southeast winds. Extension of this advisory may be needed into Tuesday…if wind speeds remain elevated.

A number of small swells will affect the state this week, although high surf advisories are not expected for at least the first half of the week. Wind waves, along with a bit of a trade wind fetch upstream, will bring small, but choppy waters across the east facing shores this week. Small north and northwest swells will arrive at times over the next week as well. Small south swells will also come and go this week, although there may be possible advisory level surf along south facing shores…toward the end of the week.

 

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Southern California weather summary: Persistent north to south pressure gradients will keep breezy to locally windy conditions across much of the region through at least Thursday. Temperatures will be above normal in most areas Tuesday through Friday…then well above normal by the weekend.

 

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No storms near Southern California

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Warming weather with variable clouds



World-wide tropical cyclone activity


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>>> Atlantic Ocean: The 2017 hurricane season begins June 1st

>>> Caribbean: The 2017 hurricane season begins June 1st

>>> Gulf of Mexico: The 2017 hurricane season begins June 1st

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific: The 2017 hurricane season begins May 15th

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Eastern Pacific Basin

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>>
Central Pacific
: The 2017 hurricane season begins June 1st

Here’s the NOAA 2016 Hurricane Season Summary for the Central Pacific Basin

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:

Tropical Cyclone 03W is active in the northwest Pacific, here’s the graphical track map, a satellite image, and what the computer models are showing

>>> South Pacific Ocean: No active tropical cyclones

>>>
North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea:
No active tropical cyclones


Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)



Interesting:
Sea Floor Erosion in Coral Reef Ecosystems Leaves Coastal Communities at Risk
– In the first ecosystem-wide study of changing sea depths at five large coral reef tracts in Florida, the Caribbean and Hawai’i, U.S. Geological Survey researchers found the sea floor is eroding in all five places, and the reefs cannot keep pace with sea level rise. As a result, coastal communities protected by the reefs are facing increased risks from storms, waves and erosion.

In the Florida Keys, the U.S. Virgin Islands and Maui, coral reef degradation has caused sea floor depths to increase as sand and other sea floor materials have eroded over the past few decades, the USGS study found. In the waters around Maui, the sea floor losses amounted to 81 million cubic meters of sand, rock and other material – about what it would take to fill up the Empire State Building 81 times, the researchers calculated.

As sea levels rise worldwide due to climate change, each of these ecologically and economically important reef ecosystems is projected to be affected by increasing water depths. The question of whether coral colonies can grow fast enough to keep up with rising seas is the subject of intense scientific research.

But the USGS study, published April 20, 2017 in the journal Biogeosciences, found the combined effect of rising seas and sea floor erosion has already increased water depths more than what most scientists expected to occur many decades from now. Other studies that do not factor in sea floor erosion have predicted seas will rise by between 0.5 and 1 meter, or between 19 inches and 3 feet 3 inches, by 2100.

“Our measurements show that seafloor erosion has already caused water depths to increase to levels not predicted to occur until near the year 2100,” said biogeochemist Kimberly Yates of the USGS’ St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center, the study’s lead author. “At current rates, by 2100 sea floor erosion could increase water depths by two to eight times more than what has been predicted from sea level rise alone.”

The study included areas of the reef tract in Florida’s Upper Keys and Lower Keys; looked at two reef ecosystems, St. Thomas and Buck Island, in the U.S. Virgin Islands; and also included the waters surrounding Maui. The researchers did not determine specific causes for the sea floor erosion in these coral reef ecosystems. But the authors pointed out that coral reefs worldwide are declining due to a combination of forces, including natural processes, coastal development, overfishing, pollution, coral bleaching, diseases and ocean acidification (a change in seawater chemistry linked to the oceans’ absorption of more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere).

For each of the five coral reef ecosystems, the team gathered detailed sea floor measurements from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration taken between 1934 and 1982, and also used surveys done from the late 1990s to the 2000s by the USGS Lidar Program and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. Until about the 1960s sea floor measurements were done by hand, using lead-weighted lines or sounding poles with depth markings. From approximately the 1960s on, most measurements were based on the time it takes an acoustic pulse to reach the sea floor and return.  The USGS researchers converted the old measurements to a format comparable to recent lidar data.

They compared the old and new sets of measurements to find the mean elevation changes at each site. The method has been used by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to track other kinds of sea floor changes, such as shifts in shipping channels. This is the first time it has been applied to whole coral reef ecosystems. Next the researchers developed a computer model that used the elevation changes to calculate the volume of sea floor material lost.

They found that overall, sea floor elevation has decreased at all five sites, in amounts ranging from about 3 ½ inches to more than 2 ½ feet. All five reef tracts also lost large amounts of coral, sand, and other sea floor materials to erosion.

“We saw lower rates of erosion—and even some localized increases in seafloor elevation—in areas that were protected, near refuges, or distant from human population centers,” Yates said. “But these were not significant enough to offset the ecosystem-wide pattern of erosion at each of our study sites.”

Worldwide, more than 200 million people live in coastal communities protected by coral reefs, which serve as natural barriers against storms, waves and erosion. These ecosystems also support jobs, provide about one-quarter of all fish harvests in the tropical oceans, and are important recreation and tourism sites.

“Coral reef systems have long been recognized for their important economic and ecological value,” said John Haines, Program Coordinator of the USGS Coastal and Marine Geology Program. “This study tells us that they have a critical role in building and sustaining the physical structure of the coastal seafloor, which supports healthy ecosystems and protects coastal communities. These important ecosystem services may be lost by the end of this century, and  nearby communities may need to find ways to compensate for these losses.”