Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Monday along with the low temperatures Monday:

79 – 74  Lihue, Kauai
85 – 74  Honolulu, Oahu
85 – 76  Molokai AP
8873  Kahului AP, Maui
86 – 78  Kailua Kona
80 – 71  Hilo AP, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (in inches) for each of the islands as of Monday evening:

3.82  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.68  Poamoho RG 1,
Oahu
0.17  Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
2.15  Puu Kukui, Maui
2.74  Kulani NWR, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) as of Monday evening:

29  Port Allen, Kauai
32  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
29  Molokai
27  Lanai

36  Kahoolawe
24  Kapalua, Maui

24  South Point, Big Island

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live webcam on the summit of our tallest mountain Mauna Kea (nearly 13,800 feet high) on the Big Island of Hawaii. This webcam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands, and at night whenever there’s a big moon shining down. Also, at night you will be able to see the stars — and the sunrise and sunset too — depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

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A cold front is far north of Hawaii, with considerable high cirrus arriving from the west

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/vis.jpg
Cloudiness in many directions


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High cirrus clouds, with rainy clouds at lower levels of the atmosphere locally, although Kauai and Oahu are mostly clear to partly cloudy at the moment

 

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Showers over parts of the state and offshore, some are heavy –
Looping radar image


Flash Flood WatchBig Island and Maui


~~~
Hawaii Weather Narrative
~~~

 

The gusty trade winds will prevail tonight. Here’s the latest weather map, showing a high pressure system over the ocean to our northeast, the source of our trade wind flow. Our trade winds will hold on for the time being, and then weaken as they veer to the southeast over the next few days. As the air flow shifts over to this direction, our atmosphere will begin to feel somewhat more sultry, and there will be volcanic haze (vog) moving up over the smaller islands into mid-week. Moderately strong trade winds will likely return during the second half of the week.

Here’s a wind profile of the offshore waters around the islands – with a closer view

Here’s the Hawaiian Islands Sulfate Aerosol animated graphic, showing vog forecast

Rainy weather is occurring, some of which will be locally heavy, especially over the Big Island and Maui. There will be off-and-on showers, some of which will be heavy, along with the outside chance of some thunder tonight into Tuesday night. The bulk of this moisture will arrive through Wednesday, with flooding issues at times. In sum, a wetter than normal pattern, with showers favoring the windward and mountain areas, although rain will reach the leeward sides at times locally.

Marine environment details: Strong trade winds associated with high pressure north of the region will continue today. As a result, the small craft advisory, SCA, will remain up for most waters through 6pm. Near advisory- level seas will be expected across the exposed waters through this time today. Winds and seas will begin to lower tonight through Tuesday, as high pressure weakens to the north, and a broad trough of low pressure develops over the region. SCA level winds may return to the waters around Maui and waters south of the Big Island by Thursday evening.

Near advisory-level surf will persist along east facing shores today, due to the persistent strong onshore winds and the trades upstream. Surf along east facing shores will begin to lower after today, in response to the winds easing and shifting toward the east-southeast. Elsewhere, small surf is expected through Friday. Surf along north facing shores will begin to build Friday night and peak over the weekend, due to a storm-force low that is projected to develop over the northwest Pacific tonight through mid-week.

 

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Off-an-on clouds and showers, mostly windward and mountains although not exclusively, some will be locally heavy


World-wide tropical cyclone activity…


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>>> Atlantic Ocean: 

Tropical Storm 15L (Nicole) is now active…located approximately 525 miles northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, a satellite image, and what the computer models are showing

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

>>> Caribbean:

Hurricane 14L (Matthew) remains a dangerous category 4 major hurricane! Located approximately 90 miles south of the eastern tip of Cuba. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, a satellite image, and what the computer models are showing 

>>> Gulf of Mexico: No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific: No active tropical cyclones

1.) An area of disturbed weather is located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is possible later this week while it moves generally westward near 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>>
Central Pacific
: No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:

Typhoon 21W (Chaba)
remains active, located approximately 227 NM west-southwest of Sasebo, Japan. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map, a satellite image, and what the computer models are showing

>>>
South Pacific Ocean:
No active tropical cyclones


>>>
North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea:
No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


Interesting:
Farming with forests
Feeding the world’s burgeoning population is a major challenge for agricultural scientists and agribusinesses, who are busy developing higher-yielding crop varieties. Yet University of Illinois researchers stress that we should not overlook sustainability in the frenzy to achieve production goals.

More than a third of the global land area is currently in food production. This figure is likely to expand, leading to deforestation, habitat loss, and weakening of essential ecosystem services, according to U of I agroecologist Sarah Taylor Lovell and graduate student Matt Wilson. To address these and other problems, they are promoting an unconventional solution: agroforestry.

Agroforestry is the intentional combination of trees and shrubs with crops or livestock. Or, as Wilson simply puts it, “You stick trees or shrubs in other stuff.”

The researchers describe five agroforestry practices:

  • Alley cropping: field crops planted between rows of trees.
  • Silvopasture: trees added to pasture systems.
  • Riparian buffers: trees planted between field edges and river edges.
  • Windbreaks: trees planted adjacent to planted fields and perpendicular to the prevailing wind pattern.
  • Forest farming: harvest or cultivation of products—such as mushrooms, ginseng, or ornamental wood—in established forests.

Each of the five practices can benefit conventional and organic agroecosystems in similar ways. Woody plants can provide habitat for beneficial wildlife, prevent soil erosion, sequester atmospheric carbon, and absorb nutrient runoff while providing farmers with additional streams of income in the form of lumber or specialty products like nuts or berries. Each specific practice also provides unique benefits. For example, trees added to pasture landscapes provide shade to grazing livestock.

Farmers might be concerned about the trees casting too much shade on crops, but it is simply a matter of choosing the right complement of species. For example, the combination of winter wheat and walnut trees in an alley cropping system works well.

“Winter wheat grows in the late winter or early spring, but the walnut doesn’t leaf out until late spring,” Wilson explains. “So, when you mix the two together, you’ve got the benefit of having two crops growing in different parts of the year.”

Lovell adds, “The grain crop growing near the trees can actually force the trees to grow deeper roots. This can benefit individual trees because the root zone they’re forced to occupy gives them greater access to water.”

European farmers are ahead of their U.S. counterparts in terms of their adoption of agroforestry practices. “It’s very common in Europe. A lot of farmers are already doing hedgerows, which are similar to windbreaks, as part of their agroforestry systems, and even more integrated systems are fairly common,” Lovell says.

Wilson suggests that there are cultural barriers to adopting agroforestry practices in the U.S. “We’ve had some farmers share sentiments like, ‘why should I plant trees? My grandpa spent his whole life tearing trees out so he could put crops in.’ There’s definitely some perception that trees are not good in a farm landscape. Trying to overcome that has been a challenge,” he says.

Another obstacle in the U.S. is a policy mindset that treats production and conservation as completely separate functions of the land. For example, farmers are prohibited from harvesting or selling products from land designated for conservation, as in the USDA’s Conservation Reserve Program. There are USDA programs that support certain agroforestry practices such as wind breaks, but government support for more integrated practices is generally lacking. That’s why Lovell’s team is advocating for farmers to utilize marginal land.

“We are working with farmers to identify lands that are less productive, sensitive, or marginal, and suggesting those as the places to start transitioning,” Lovell explains. Or, she suggests, farmers could plant young “edibles” (trees and shrubs bearing fruit or nuts) in a CRP easement. By the time the CRP lease expires in 10 to 15 years, the trees would be mature, bearing edible—and potentially profitable—products.  

The long time frame needed for trees to establish and mature may discourage some farmers, but the researchers offer a strategy for the transition period. In an alley cropping system with hazelnut and chestnut trees, for example, they suggest growing edible shrubs and pasture between rows. Farmers can expect to start harvesting and selling hay almost immediately, and will start seeing fruit production from the shrubs within a couple of years. Eight to ten years after establishment, trees will begin producing nuts.

“We’re looking at economic strategies to maximize profit from the very beginning,” Lovell says.

Despite the challenges, the researchers insist the environmental benefits are worth the trouble. “If you have trees in a system, you’re holding soil, preventing runoff, and ameliorating greenhouse gas emissions. At the same time, you are getting a harvestable product. This combination of environmental services and agricultural production makes agroforestry an exciting opportunity to both feed the world and save the planet,” Wilson says.