Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Saturday along with the low temperatures Saturday:

88 – 79  Lihue, Kauai
88 – 76  Honolulu, Oahu
89 – 76  Molokai AP
91 – 76  Kahului AP, Maui – record Saturday was 95…in 1953
89 – 79  Kona AP
83 – 74  Hilo AP, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (in inches) for each of the islands as of Saturday evening:

0.45  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.20  Poamoho RG 1,
Oahu
0.10  Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.29  West Wailuaiki, Maui
1.02  Saddle Quarry, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph) as of Saturday evening:

28  Port Allen, Kauai
31  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
25  Molokai
24  Lanai

35  Kahoolawe
28  Maalaea Bay, Maui

25  Kealakomo, Big Island

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

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An early season cold front is approaching to our north, although it won’t reach Hawaii

 

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Thunderstorms in the deeper tropics to our south, along with that cold front to our northwest

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Clear to partly cloudy…high Cirrus clouds are located just to the southwest

 

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Showers mostly offshore –
Looping radar image


Small Craft Advisory
…Maalaea Bay, Maui, Pailolo and Alenuihaha Channels, Big Island leeward and southeast waters

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

 

The trade winds will diminish slightly as a cold front well north of the area, edges closer to the state. The trades will begin to increase again later Sunday as this front stalls in its movement south, and strong high pressure builds north of the islands. Moderate to strong trades are then expected to return for much of the new week ahead. Here’s the latest weather map, showing high pressure systema well to our northeast and northwest. The trade winds blow on average 83% of the time during the month of September.

Here’s a wind profile of the offshore waters around the islands – with a closer view

Here’s the Hawaiian Islands Sulfate Aerosol animated graphic, showing vog forecast

A relatively dry air mass will remain in place this weekend. A trough of low pressure will edge closer to the island chain Sunday night and Monday, bringing an increase in moisture, and a more unstable air mass. This will result in a more active shower pattern across the islands. A drier and stable air mass will then build over the region through the remainder of the new week, with a fairly mild mannered trade wind weather pattern expected.

Marine environment details: Moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail followed by an increase in winds later Sunday and Monday, as high pressure builds to the north of the state. A Small Craft Advisory (SCA) will be posted for the typically windy waters around the Big Island and Maui Sunday, and the SCA will likely remain in place through much of the new week.

Surf will generally be on the small side through the week. A series of mainly small pulses of south-southwest swell will continue. A very small northwest swell will peak Sunday, then fade as it shifts more northerly on Monday and Tuesday. Easterly trade winds will maintain moderate surf along east facing shores.

Saturday Evening Film: I’m going to see a new film called The Magnificent Seven, as I’ve always been a sucker for westerns. This film stars seven men, which let’s hope are magnificent in what they do. As this is an action and adventure film, filled with drama, I would imagine that what these guys do is shoot other guys…lots of them! The film stars Peter Saresgaard, Vincent D’Onofrio, Ethan Hawke, Chris Pratt, Lee Byung-hun, Denzel Washington, Cam Gigandet, Luke Grimes, and yes, even a woman whose name is Haley Bennett. The synopsis: With the town of Rose Creek under the deadly control of industrialist Bartholomew Bogue, the desperate townspeople, led by Emma Cullen, employ protection from seven outlaws, bounty hunters, gamblers and hired guns – Sam Chisolm, Josh Farraday, Goodnight Robicheaux, Jack Horne, Billy Rocks, Vasquez, and Red Harvest. As they prepare the town for the violent showdown that they know is coming, these seven mercenaries find themselves fighting for more than money.  

I saw this film with my friend Jeff. It was rather predictable, although entertaining none-the-less. The main thing, as I mentioned above, was men shooting each other with hand guns and rifles. It wasn’t just a few times, but pretty much from beginning to the end. As one credit noted, “If body count is what you go to Westerns for, by all means drift into this one’s corral.”  They must have shot their guns a million times, it was almost, and I am exaggerating here…a constant barrage. Jeff gave it a strong B grade, I upped the ante to B+ myself. Thereafter, we drove over to Kihei and did some dancing at a couple of dive bars. He and I went to a party in Haiku last night, and I ended up dancing lots there too. Two nights of dancing in a row, was a special treat! Here’s the rough and tumble trailer for The Magnificent 7. 

 

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Generally nice weather continues today


World-wide tropical cyclone activity…


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>>> Atlantic Ocean:

Post-Tropical Cyclone 12L (Karl) is dissipating, located approximately 535 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, a satellite imageLast Advisory

1.) Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands is moving westward at around 20 mph. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week. Interests in the Windward Islands, the southern Caribbean Sea, and the northern coast of South America should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

>>> Caribbean: No active tropical cyclones

>>> Gulf of Mexico: No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific: No active tropical cyclones

1.)  Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located about 825 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better organized overnight. Satellite imagery also suggests that the circulation is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves slowly northward.

Here’s a satellite image of this area, being referred to as Invest 94E…along with what the computer models are showing

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent

2.) An area of low pressure located about 1275 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this disturbance should be slow to occur during the next couple of days. After that time, environmental conditions could become more conducive for development. This system is expected to move west-northwestward during the next couple of days, and then turn northward as it approaches the Central Pacific basin.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>>
Central Pacific
: No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:

Typhoon 20W (Megi)
remains active, located approximately 526 NM east-southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map, a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing

>>>
South Pacific Ocean:
No active tropical cyclones


>>>
North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea:
No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


Interesting: 
A Cruise Ship Just Sailed the Northwest Passage, Thanks to Climate Change The Northwest Passage originated as an unattainable and lethal legend when Europeans arrived in the Americas and longed for an easy sea route across North America. Now, a cruise ship has successfully traversed the route in only a month.

It wasn’t until 1906 that Norwegian explorer Roald Amundsen successfully — but with extreme difficulty — navigated what had, until then, been a theoretical journey. In the years since, heavily fortified ships with icebreakers could only make it through the floes of the Arctic in summer, when sea ice was at its lowest.

Now, a massive 14-deck cruise ship has completed the journey that was a pipe dream just over one hundred years ago — and it’s raising a lot of concerns.

It took the Crystal Serenity just a month to glide through the waters from Alaska to New York — Amundsen needed three years.

What made this speedy voyage possible?

Climate change.

Rising temperatures have contributed to radical shrinkage of Arctic ice in a disturbingly short period of time. Researcher Peter Wadham, who has spent decades in the Arctic, predicts that the region will be free of ice by the middle of the century, which means that cruises like this one could become a lot more common.

“Extinction tourism” may be popular, but it comes at a high cost — and with a bitter legacy.

Arctic nations and indigenous people in the area have expressed concern about an increase in visitors.

Nunavut is already weighing restrictions on cruise ships and considering the impacts of maritime tourism. They’re proposing limits on the number of people allowed ashore to reduce the strain on resources for highly isolated communities — especially since cruise ships only visit during a brief period of the year and cannot be considered a reliable source of income.

Canadian officials are also concerned about what the opening of the passage will mean for maritime sovereignty, as nations like China are eager to exploit the newly-navigable waters of the North.

But this comes with more than just political and social implications. There’s a larger question at hand as we turn climate change into a tourist attraction.

The disappearance of sea ice is an indicator that climate change is progressing at a rate that’s too rapid to stop. This won’t just mean rising sea levels caused by melting ice — it could also speed up the warming of the climate.

Ice is more reflective than water and, thus, bounces radiation off the Earth’s surface rather than absorbing it. The ice also acts like a giant cooler, chilling the air as it passes over and contributing climate control to Arctic nations.

The firm is already planning another cruise for 2017, even though some of the attractions it was hoping to showcase aren’t readily available. Polar bears, for instance, have nowhere to go in a landscape of dwindling ice.

While wealthy cruisers pay upwards of $100,000 for the privilege of watching the world fall apart around them, local communities stand to hurt the most — and they’re likely to ultimately join the growing ranks of climate refugees.