Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Monday…along with the low temperatures Monday:
85 – 74 Lihue, Kauai
86 – 75 Honolulu, Oahu
85 – 75 Molokai AP
87 – 73 Kahului AP, Maui
88 – 79 Kona AP
79 – 74 Hilo AP, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands…Monday evening:
1.82 Mount Waialeale, Kauai
7.47 Moanalua RG, Oahu
1.57 Molokai
0.93 Lanai
0.07 Kahoolawe
4.19 West Wailuaiki, Maui
4.31 Pahoa, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…Monday evening:
25 Port Allen, Kauai
27 Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
23 Molokai
22 Lanai
30 Kahoolawe
32 Maalaea Bay, Maui
23 Kaupulehu, Big Island
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
Tropical Storm Kay is moving away from the Mexican coast…weakening
Thunderstorms offshore in most directions…with an out of season cold front to the northwest of the islands
Partly to mostly cloudy…heavy showers increasing locally…and a tiny spin down to the southwest of the Big Island
Showers are locally heavy…mostly offshore – Looping radar image
Flash Flood Watch…KONA-SOUTH BIG ISLAND-BIG ISLAND NORTH AND EAST-KOHALA- BIG ISLAND INTERIOR-BIG ISLAND SUMMITS
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Our winds will become lighter…through the middle of this new week. Here’s the latest weather map, showing a near 1024 millibar high pressure system far north-northeast of Hawaii. Meanwhile, there’s an elongated low pressure trough in the deeper tropics to our south. The trades will ease up now, allowing sultry conditions to develop, with daytime sea breezes through Wednesday. There’s even a chance that we would see some volcanic haze shifting over the smaller islands. During the second half of this new week, starting around Thursday, more normal trade winds will return…taking the edge off the muggy weather then.
Here’s a wind profile…of the offshore waters around the islands – with a closer view
Here’s the Hawaiian Islands Sulfate Aerosol animated graphic – showing vog forecast
Clouds and showers will be active at times…with some locally heavy downpours. An unsettled weather pattern will envelop the state over the next few days, with the chance of some locally heavy rainfall each day. Showers will favor windward areas during the nights, and the interior sections during the afternoons. However, with that being said…showers could fall just about anywhere at any time. During the second half of this week, we should see the return of stronger trade winds, with a more typical windward precipitation pattern taking over into the weekend.
Marine environment details: Winds and seas will remain below Small Craft Advisory levels through at least Wednesday. Winds could approach advisory levels Thursday or Friday for waters around Maui County and the Big Island…as high pressure rebuilds far northeast of the area.
Swells from the east and south will continue to bring small surf along exposed shorelines this week…although no significant swells are expected.
Off and on rain over the next few days…some heavy
World-wide tropical cyclone activity…
>>> Atlantic Ocean:
Post-Tropical Cyclone 06L (Fiona) is dissipating in the central Atlantic Ocean, located about 430 miles south of Bermuda…here’s the NHC graphical track map, with a satellite image – Final Advisory
Tropical Storm 07L (Gaston) remains active in the Atlantic Ocean, located about 685 miles west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands…here’s the NHC graphical track map, with a satellite image…along with computer models
1.) A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph near the northern Leeward Island and the Greater Antilles. Large-scale conditions could become more conducive later this week while the system moves near Hispaniola and then the southeastern and central Bahamas. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance later this morning. Interests from the islands of the northeastern Caribbean Sea to the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Gusty winds, heavy rains, and possible flash floods and mud slides could occur over these areas regardless of tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean Sea: No active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: No active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Eastern Pacific:
Tropical Depression 12E (Kay) remains active, located about 650 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California…here’s the NHC graphical track map, with a satellite image…along with computer models
1.) A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with an elongated area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while the low moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
2.) A broad area of low pressure located about 400 miles south- southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while this system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Central Pacific: No active tropical cyclones
No Tropical Cyclones expected through at least the next 2-days
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Tropical Storm 12W (Lionrock) remains active in the western Pacific, located 362 NM east-northeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa…here’s the JTWC graphical track map, with a satellite image , with what the computer models are showing
Tropical Storm 14W is now active in the western Pacific, located 42 NM west-northwest of Saipan…here’s the JTWC graphical track map, with a satellite image, with what the computer models are showing
>>> South Pacific Ocean: No active tropical cyclones
>>> North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea: No active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: First Americans Took Coastal Route to Get to North America – The first Americans may have traveled to their new home along the coast, new research suggests.
The findings clash with long-held views that the first Americans traveled through the interior of the continent from Siberia into North America, as textbooks have taught for decades. The new study reveals that a huge chunk of the interior land route was either devoid of food or sunk beneath a forbidding lake for hundreds of years after people from the Clovis culture showed up in the Southwest.
“It would have been a real barrier to cross,” said study co-author Eske Willerslev, an evolutionary geneticist at the University of Cambridge in England.
Land bridge to Asia
The conventional wisdom has been that ancient ancestors of today’s Native Americans were trapped in the region of the Bering Strait for millennia during the last glacial maximum, when two huge ice sheets blocked the passageway into the Americas. Then, around 15,000 years ago, the ice sheets began to recede, and some of this population threaded its way through the narrow strip of land that was free of ice, thus entering North America.
However, in recent years that story has been called into question. Ancient Americans reached a site in southern Chile known as Monte Verde by about 14,700 years ago, and the ice sheets had probably not receded enough by then to allow interior passage, according to the study. Still, it’s possible that the ancestors of the Clovis culture, who appeared roughly 13,400 years ago in North America, migrated through the continent’s interior, Willerslev said.
To see whether the Clovis culture may have used this interior route, Willerslev and his colleagues drilled samples of sediments from the bottom of the Spring and Charlie lakes in far northern British Columbia, Canada. During the Ice Age, this region was smack in the middle of the proposed ice-free corridor and was the site of a large glacial lake known as Lake Peace.
No food, no route
The team analyzed DNA from pollen, plants and animals in the cores and found that, around 13,000 years ago, the ice-free corridor was either submerged under water or, even if it was above water, had no vegetation to burn for warmth and no bison. Given that, it’s unlikely ancient people could have made the long trek into the heart of North America to found the Clovis culture, the researchers reported today (Aug. 10) in the journal Nature.
The first Americans were clearly curious explorers, but they were also realists, Willerslev said.
“We are talking 932 miles you have to pass with ice caps on each side. It’s not like, ‘Oh yeah, I’m just taking a three-day hike,'” Willerslev told Live Science. “Humans won’t take the trip unless you have resources to sustain yourself along the way.”
Instead, it’s likely that the first people in America spread from what is now Siberia by hugging the coasts, Willerslev said.
Reasonable but not surprising
Though that finding may be a surprise for those who are wedded to their high-school history textbooks, experts have been leaning in this direction for years, said John Hoffecker, a paleoanthropologist at the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research in Boulder, Colorado.
“It’s not a big surprise,” Hoffecker, who was not involved in the current study, told Live Science. The new paper “provides some hard evidence as opposed to mere speculation.”
The ancient Americans probably both walked and used rafts or canoes to cover the distances they did in such a short period of time, said Justin Tackney, an anthropologist at the University of Kansas, who has analyzed the ancient Upward Sun River skeletons found in Alaska.
“Bouncing along the coast would move people much faster,” Tackney, who was not involved in the current research, told Live Science.
Unfortunately, any archaeological evidence of these early migrations is likely submerged off the continental shelf in the ocean, Hoffecker said.
Mr. rich Says:
Hi Glenn–Here in Puna/Keaau near the water, it’s been raining steadily without a break, since dawn. 2:45pm now, and just heard the first roll of thunder off in the distance. Backing off some right now, the sky brightening some. Glad to always have the Looping Radar Image; Thanks.
~~~ Hi Mr. Rich, sounds wet, wet, wet down your way! Thanks for the on the spot weather report, always glad to hear from you. Glad you appreciate the looping radar image…me too!
Aloha, Glenn
Eliza Says:
Aloha Glenn –
We had a nice rain shower in the 9am hour, here in upper Pukalani. There’s been some tradewind-direction breezes, tho’ most of what’s happening here is still air. On goes the fan at 2pm. Thanks for all you do – including the interesting archeology article today. Do you have a citation for the source of it? I’d like to share that with a friend in Washington state.
Best week to you – Eliza
~~~ Hi Eliza, good to hear from you too, glad you had your morning shower, as we did up here in Kula. It’s looking and feeling like we may get some more rain this afternoon too.
Glad you liked the latest article, I’ll find the citation, and email it to you separately via email.
Stay cool with that fan on you…and you’ll be needing it more over the next few days, what with the sultry air over us.
Aloha, Glenn
AmandaonMaui Says:
I actually did learn about a potential coastal migration about 7 years ago in a college archaeology class. It’s cool that some more solid evidence has been found to support this theory. It does throw a lot of stuff up into the air though, including a lot that I studied. That’s what I love about science though. The willingness to let yourself be wrong when new evidence comes along that dethrones accepted information.
~~~ Hi Amanda, good to hear from you again, and with yet another intelligent comment on those interesting articles at the bottom of this page…actually up from here.
“The willingness to let yourself be wrong when new evidence comes along that dethrones accepted information.” – Right on Amanda!
Thanks for sharing your perspective.
Aloha, Glenn