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Air Temperatures – The following maxiumum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Wednesday…along with the low temperatures Wednesday:

81 – 70  Lihue, Kauai
89 – 76  Honolulu, Oahu
86 – 73  Molokai AP
88 – 69  Kahului AP, Maui
88 – 77  Kailua Kona
81 – 70 
Hilo AP, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands…as of Wednesday evening:

1.83  Mount Waialeale, Kauai
0.78  Manoa Lyon Arboretum,
Oahu
0.20  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.05  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.33  West Wailuaiki, Maui
0.65  Kawainui Stream, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Wednesday evening:

29  Port Allen, Kauai
33  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
36  Molokai
29  Lanai

38  Kahoolawe
32  Maalaea Bay, Maui

30  Kealakomo, Big Island

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too…depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_ir_enh_west_loop-12.gif
We can see
Hurricane Blas far to the east-southeast of Hawaii…with Tropical Depression 04E to the right of Blas


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP03/refresh/EP0316W5_NL+gif/023357W5_NL_sm.gif
Hurricane Blas is still a major category 3 storm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/03E/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif
A cloud filled eye at the center of this very strong hurricane!

https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/ep201603_model.gif
What the computer models are showing

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP04/refresh/EP0416W5_NL+gif/203556W5_NL_sm.gif
Tropical Depression 04E…will soon be Tropical Storm Celia

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/96E/imagery/vis0-lalo.gif
Tropical Depression 04E will become a hurricane this weekend

https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/ep201604_model.gif
What the models are showing

 

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/ir4.jpg
Thunderstorms west and south of the islands…we see what’s left of former tropical cyclone Agatha in the picture on the right side of the image

 

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/hi/ir4.jpg
Higher clouds over parts of the state…scattered low clouds elsewhere

 

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif
Showers locally –
Looping radar image


Small Craft Advisory
…windiest coasts and channels Maui County and the Big Island

~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~

Moderately strong trade winds will prevail through Friday…with some possible changes during the weekend. Here’s the latest weather map, showing a moderately strong, near 1033 millibar high pressure system in the area north of Hawaii. Our trade winds are expected to remain active through the end of this work week. I would expect winds to gust up to around 35 mph in those most windy locations through the next several days. There’s a chance that our trade winds could falter substantially, depending upon just where the circulation of former tropical cyclone Agatha goes, as it gets closer Sunday into next Monday…stay tuned.

Here’s a wind profile…of the offshore waters around the islands – with a closer view

Here’s the Hawaiian Islands Sulfate Aerosol animated graphic showing vog forecast

There will be some windward showers at times. As the trade winds will continue to be gusty, some of these showers will ride over into the leeward sections at times…on the smaller islands. This moisture will keep showery conditions alive, at least in an off and on manner. There’s a chance that a slug of tropical moisture may arrive on the trade winds as we get into the later part of the upcoming weekend. This moisture would be whatever is left of…now retired tropical cyclone Agatha. We may see the same thing happen further down the line, as leftover moisture from what will very likely be retired hurricane Blas, gets carried towards us on the trades later next week…stay tuned.

Tropical Cyclones in the northeastern Pacific: Hurricane Blas remains a very strong system, qualifying as a category 3 major hurricane. We’ll certainly need to keep an eye on Blas, although it should remain well away from our islands…before losing steam to our east-northeast. We also have Tropical Depression 04E, that’s spinning  over the ocean to the east of Blas, which will become a tropical storm, and then hurricane Celia. I don’t see either of these tropical cyclone’s causing problems for the Hawaiian Islands, at least from this vantage point. At any rate, may see some showers and rising surf here in the islands later this week, and again next week.

Marine environment details: Small craft advisory (SCA) has been extended to cover the typical windy zones around Maui County and the Big Island through Friday. Trade wind speeds statewide are expected to maintain through at least Friday with a slight weakening this weekend.

Relatively small surf will prevail along all shores today. Forerunners associated with a new south swell are expected to arrive tonight and Thursday, with the swell peaking Friday and Saturday. Peak surf heights may reach advisory levels along south facing shores of all islands.

East swells being generated by Hurricane Blas are expected to arrive in the Hawaiian waters this weekend. Significant uncertainty surrounds this forecast, but there is potential for high surf along east facing shores this weekend and early next week…as this swell arrives.

 

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Here on Maui
– Early Wednesday morning is dawning partly to mostly cloudy. There are some nice sunny areas around in places too, now that it’s a few minutes later. We have some high cirrus clouds overhead, which a lit up a nice pink at sunrise. The air temperature was a relatively warm 61.7F degrees at 542am. Meanwhile, at about the same time, the Kahului airport was reporting clear skies, with a temperature of 73 degrees, while Hana was 73 as well, with Maalaea Bay showing 75…and the summit of the Haleakala Crater was reporting 46 degrees. / Skies have cleared quite a bit from earlier this morning…(8am)

Early afternoon, with a mix of sunny skies, along with partly to mostly cloudy areas around the mountains. It’s a nice summer day, with the trade winds keeping our tropical environment feeling quite comfortable.

Early evening, it was a nice day! I drove over to Kihei for a dermatological appointment I had. It was so hot over there, with my car thermometer reading 93 degrees. As I got back home to Kula, the temperature was a much cooler 78 degrees. This is why I prefer living upcountry, I personally find it hard to take that traffic and heat down near sea level.

 

World-wide tropical cyclone activity –

>>> Atlantic Ocean: No active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

>>> Caribbean Sea: No active tropical cyclones

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days

>>> Gulf of Mexico: No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Here’s the link to the
National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific:

Hurricane Blas remains active over the waters of the eastern Pacific…about 1210 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Here’s the NHC graphical track map, along with a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing.

Tropical Depression 04E remains active over the waters of the eastern Pacific, located not far to the east of Blas…or about 705 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California. Here’s a satellite image of this soon to be tropical storm, and then hurricane Celia.

Meanwhile, an area of low pressure is expected to form by early next week several hundred miles southwest of the coast of Mexico. Some subsequent development of this system is possible while it moves westward to west-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>>
Central Pacific
: No active tropical cyclones

No tropical cyclones expected through the next 2-days

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:

Tropical Cyclone 02W (Nepartak)
remains active in the western Pacific Ocean, remaining an extremely strong super typhoon…at it heads directly towards Taiwan. Here’s a JTWC graphical track map, with a satellite image…and what the computer models are showing.

Animated satellite images
of this super typhoon!

>>>
South Pacific Ocean:
No active tropical cyclones


>>>
North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea:
No active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


Interesting: 
Carbon emissions from Indonesia forest fires hit new high – Forest fires in Indonesia last year released 11.3 million tonnes of carbon per day, researchers have found. This figure exceeds the daily rate of 8.9 million tonnes of carbon emissions from the whole of the European Union, the study says.

The 2015 fires were the worst since 1997, when a strong El Niño also fanned widespread fires, says the study, published in the journal Scientific Reports.

Fire is widely used in South-East Asia to clear vegetation and maintain land for the growing of crops, the paper explains. Last year, fires were exacerbated by extended drought associated with El Niño, releasing 857 million tonnes of carbon dioxide from September to October 2015, the authors say. This represents 97 per cent of the country’s annual carbon emissions.

Study co-author Martin Wooster, an earth observation scientist at King’s College London in the United Kingdom, says the data produced from the study were based on satellite observation and on-site measurement of the air in Palangkaraya, the capital city of Central Kalimantan province, which experienced the country’s thickest smog during last year’s fires.

“There have been some isolated studies before where people artificially set fires in the lab to try to understand the chemical characteristics of peatland fire smoke in Indonesia,” Wooster explains. But this study is the first of its kind: “no one had done this for natural fires, and especially not on the kind of extreme fires seen in 2015.”

Wooster believes the study is more than enough to prod the Indonesian government to take serious steps in fighting forest fires, which have a severe impact on human lives.

“Every year, the global atmospheric CO2 concentration is rising, and in 2015 it rose more than any other year since measurements began,” he says, adding that governments in South-East Asia are “very aware” of the impact on air quality in the region.

Wooster notes the particulates in the atmosphere in some parts of Indonesia reached more than five times the hazardous levels, reducing visibility to a few hundred metres in places.

Sugarin, head of the Climatic and Meteorological Agency station in Riau, Sumatra, admits that the Indonesian government is now more serious in tackling the issue.

He says Riau province is now in a state of “emergency alert” for peatland fires, with 15 hotspots under watch. This means the central government is ready to send helicopters for “water bombings”.

“We are ready for the worst case this year even though it is unlikely that the same catastrophe will happen again,” says Sugarin. This year, the El Niño phenomenon will not return and the dry season will not bring such severe drought, he adds.