Air Temperatures The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Wednesday…along with the minimums Wednesday:

80 – 72  Lihue, Kauai
82 – 68  Honolulu, Oahu

7868  Molokai
81 – 67  Kahului AP, Maui

8266  Hilo, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Wednesday evening:

0.42  Kilohana, Kauai
0.36
  Poamoho RG 1, Oahu
1.35  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.24  Waikapu Country Club, Maui
1.35  Kapapala Ranch, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Wednesday evening:

23  Port Allen, Kauai – NE
29  Kuaokala, Oahu – NE
18  Molokai – NE
30  Lanai – NE

31  Kahoolawe – NNE
23  Kapalua, Maui – NNE

24  Kealakomo, Big Island – NNE

Hawaii’s MountainsHere’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_ir_enh_west_loop-12.gif
We see a ragged cold front…now dissipating
over Maui County

Here’s a wind profile…of the offshore waters
around the islands – with a closer view

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/vis.jpg
High clouds offshore southwest through south…
along with that weak front falling apart over Maui

 

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/hi/vis.jpg
Clear to partly cloudy…cloudy areas


http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif

The cold front’s few showers falling locally from Oahu to Maui
looping radar image


High Surf Advisory
…north and west shores of Kauai, Oahu, Molokai

and north shore of Maui

Small Craft Advisory…most windward coasts, and all of the major
channels between the islands


~~~
Hawaii Weather Narrative
~~~



Our local winds will be calming back down…ahead of the next cold front Friday. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean. We find a moderately strong high pressure system far to our northeast, with a weaker high pressure cell to our north-northwest…moving quickly eastward. At the same time, we find several storm and gale and storm low pressure systems far to our north. The winds, have recently come out of the north then northeast…bringing some cool air our way. As we move through Thursday into early Friday, our winds will remain on the light side. It appears that we’ll see cool north to northeasterly winds arriving later New Year’s Day into the weekend…behind another cold front then. Generally light winds will prevail during the first half of next week.

A few showers locally, associated with a weak cold front…will decline as we move through Friday. The north and northeast sides of the islands will see a few passing showers, brought our way by the recent dissipating front. Windward clouds and a few showers will continue, as moderately strong trade winds stick around into Thursday morning. Lighter winds will return later Thursday into Friday ahead of the next cold front, arriving over Kauai and Oahu later Friday, then pushing across Maui County and the Big Island during the night into Saturday. This front won’t be a big deal in terms of rainfall either, having limited moisture to work with. It looks like dry to very dry weather will prevail in the wake of this Friday-Saturday frontal passage into Sunday. Looking further ahead, yet another weak cold front will arrive next later Monday into Tuesday…with little rainfall expected again then.

Here in Maui County
…It’s mostly clear to partly cloudy across the island this morning before sunrise, and despite it still being dark out, I can see that yesterday’s volcanic haze is now gone. Here in upcountry Kula, it’s calm and clear…with an air temperature of 49.8F degrees at 555am.
The temperature in contrast was 68 degrees down near sea level in Kahului, with 72 at Maalaea Bay, 64 out in Hana…and 43 atop the Haleakala Crater at the same time. Meanwhile, Kahoolawe’s highest elevation was 66 degrees, and 67 at Lanai City. / Now at 730am, the weak cold front’s clouds have reached Maui, with clouds along the windward sides…stretching into the central valley…with a few showers. There’s a chilly north to northeast breeze riding in with this frontal boundary as well.

It’s mid-afternoon, with clear to partly cloudy skies in many areas…although cloudy with showers falling along the windward sides in contrast. I just got a call from my friend Brian Perry, the editor of the Maui News, and he said that he had gotten wet earlier in Wailuku town. He also mentioned that there was a cool breeze blowing as well. The reason of course was this cold front, or what’s left of it, that has stretched down here to Maui today. / Now at 415pm, it’s partly cloudy with a light shower, and a cool breeze here in Kula. I can see lots of clouds along the windward sides, with rainbows telling me its wet over in that direction.

We’re into the early evening now, and clouds and generally light showers are evident along the windward sides…and even stretching into the central valley. Here in Kula, at my weather tower, we’re on the edge of these clouds, although we did have a brief light shower during the later afternoon. As the sunset, there continues to be a slightly chilly northerly breeze blowing, which is stronger down near sea level locally.

I’ll be back with many more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Wednesday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn


World-wide tropical cyclone activity:

>>> Atlantic Ocean: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued if conditions warrant.

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

>>> Caribbean Sea: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued if conditions warrant.

>>> Gulf of Mexico: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2015 Atlantic hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued if conditions warrant.

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Here’s the link to the
National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific: The last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of the 2015 North Pacific hurricane season…has occurred. Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2016. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued if conditions warrant.

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>>
Central Pacific
: The central north Pacific hurricane season has officially ended. Routine issuance of the tropical weather outlook will resume on June 1, 2016. During the off-season, special tropical weather outlooks will be issued if conditions warrant.

Tropical Depression 09C is now active far southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii. Here’s the CPHC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this strengthening system…and finally what the computer models are showing.

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones

>>>
South Pacific Ocean: 

Tropical Cyclone 06P (Ula)
remains active near American Samoa and Fiji…in the southwest Pacific. Here’s the JTWC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this strengthening system…and finally what the computer models are showing.


>>>
North and South Indian Oceans / Arabian Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


Interesting:  
This year’s El Niño not giving up
– The current strong El Niño brewing in the Pacific Ocean shows no signs of waning, as seen in the latest satellite image from the U.S./European Ocean Surface Topography Mission (OSTM)/Jason-2 mission. 

El Niño 2015 has already created weather chaos around the world. Over the next few months, forecasters expect the United States to feel its impacts as well. 

The latest Jason-2 image bears a striking resemblance to one from December 1997, by Jason-2’s predecessor, the NASA/Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES) Topex/Poseidon mission, during the last large El Niño event. Both reflect the classic pattern of a fully developed El Niño. The images can be viewed at:

http://sealevel.jpl.nasa.gov/elnino2015/index.html

The images show nearly identical, unusually high sea surface heights along the equator in the central and eastern Pacific: the signature of a big and powerful El Niño. Higher-than-normal sea surface heights are an indication that a thick layer of warm water is present.

El Niños are triggered when the steady, westward-blowing trade winds in the Pacific weaken or even reverse direction, triggering a dramatic warming of the upper ocean in the central and eastern tropical Pacific. Clouds and storms follow the warm water, pumping heat and moisture high into the overlying atmosphere. These changes alter jet stream paths and affect storm tracks all over the world.

This year’s El Niño has caused the warm water layer that is normally piled up around Australia and Indonesia to thin dramatically, while in the eastern tropical Pacific, the normally cool surface waters are blanketed with a thick layer of warm water. This massive redistribution of heat causes ocean temperatures to rise from the central Pacific to the Americas. It has sapped Southeast Asia’s rain in the process, reducing rainfall over Indonesia and contributing to the growth of massive wildfires that have blanketed the region in choking smoke. 

El Niño is also implicated in Indian heat waves caused by delayed monsoon rains, as well as Pacific island sea level drops, widespread coral bleaching that is damaging coral reefs, droughts in South Africa, flooding in South America and a record-breaking hurricane season in the eastern tropical Pacific. Around the world, production of rice, wheat, coffee and other crops has been hit hard by droughts and floods, leading to higher prices.

The latest satellite image of Pacific sea surface heights from Jason-2 (left) differs slightly from one 18 years ago from Topex/Poseidon (right). In Dec. 1997, sea surface height was more intense and peaked in November. This year the area of high sea levels is less intense but considerably broader. Credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech