Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Wednesday…along with the minimums Wednesday:

86 – 78  Lihue, Kauai
90 – 74  Honolulu, Oahu – 91 was the record for Wednesday…set back in 1986
88 – 73  Molokai
91 – 70  Kahului, Maui – the record for Wednesday was 96…set back in 1951
88 – 78  Kailua Kona
84 – 73  Hilo, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Wednesday evening:

6.45  N Wailua ditch, Kauai
2.91  Nuuanu Upper, Oahu
0.01  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.15  Kula 1, Maui
1.86  Waikoloa, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Wednesday evening:

16  Waimea Heights, Kauai – NNE
20  Kahuku Trng, Oahu – SE
24  Molokai – ENE
22  Lanai – NE
33  Kahoolawe – NE
25  Kahului AP, Maui – NE
24  Kealakomo, Big Island – NE

Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.


Aloha Paragraphs

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_ir_enh_west_loop-12.gif
We see what’s left of former tropical depression Enrique
to our east-northeast, and a tropical disturbance with
a high chance of developing well offshore from the
southern Mexican coast – more information below

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/cpac/vis.jpg
We see the swirl of clouds associated with former
 tropical depression Enrique to the east-northeast
of us…with lots of thunderstorms south of Hawaii
Looping version


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/hi/vis.jpg
Just a few clouds over the islands locally, clouds
over the ocean to the west of Kauai…and more
approaching to the east of the Big Island/Maui
 Looping version


http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/RadarImg/hawaii.gif
Just a few showers falling locally over the islands
looping radar image

Small Craft Wind Advisory…windiest coasts and
channels around Maui County and the Big Island


~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~



The trade winds will be locally lighter than normal into Thursday…then increasing into Friday. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find a large near 1033 millibar high pressure system to the north of the state. Meanwhile, there’s a trough of low pressure (former Enrique) east of the state. The trade winds are expected to continue, although be generally quite light into Thursday, resulting in a mix of light to locally moderate trades…and daytime sea breezes. The forecast has the trade winds rebounding later Thursday into Friday, faltering again during the weekend…leading to increased humidity. The trades should return to more normal levels through most of next week.

There will be showers falling locally at times. There’s a chance that a few of these showers will be enhanced enough, that they could become locally heavy. This modified convective weather pattern will last through most of Thursday. As we push into later Thursday, a more typical trade wind weather will return, with windward showers taking over again then. There’s the chance that the remnant moisture associated with former TC Enrique, may get carried into the state on the trade wind flow Friday into the weekend. Finally, a large south swell is expected to arrive Friday, and will be large enough to bring advisory level surf along south facing shores this weekend. I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Wednesday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.

Here on Maui…It’s 535am Wednesday morning, skies are clear to partly cloudy over the island. The air temperature here in Kula, at my upcountry weather tower was 58.2 degrees, while it was 71 down at the Kahului airport, and 79 out in Hana at nearly the same time.

– We’re into the very early evening now, with clear to partly cloudy skies, and very warm temperatures. It’s 80 degrees up here in Kula, with 89 down in Kahului and Kapalua…and 84 out in Hana.


World-wide tropical cyclone activity:

>>> Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones

>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones

>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean

Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days over the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea or Atlantic Ocean

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Eastern Pacific: 

Tropical Storm 07E (Felicia)

Here’s a satellite image, along with the animated version…and what the hurricane models are showing

Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.

Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

>>> Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones

1.)  A broad area of disorganized showers and isolated thunderstorms associated with a weak surface low embedded within a monsoon trough is about 1300 miles south southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii. Environmental conditions do not appear to be conducive for significant development of this nearly stationary system during the next couple of days. Here’s a satellite image of this area

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low…10 percent

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean:

Typhoon 1C (Halola) remains active…located about 370 NM east-southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan

Here’s the JTWC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this tropical cyclone. Here’s what the computer models are showing.

Tropical Depression 12W is now active…located about 228 NM northeast of Manila, Philippines

Here’s the JTWC graphical track map, along with a satellite image of this tropical cyclone. Here’s what the computer models are showing.


>>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones

>>> North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)

Interesting:  Disaster displacement on the rise –  In the last seven years, an estimated one person every second has been forced to flee their home by a natural disaster, with 19.3 million people forced to flee their homes in 2014 alone, according to a new report. The research suggests disaster displacement is on the rise, and as leaders worldwide advance towards the adoption of a post-2015 global agenda, the time has never been better to address it.

In the report, the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center (IDMC) of the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) released today its global report, The Global Estimates: People displaced by disasters. The report reveals how, in 2014, 17.5 million people were forced to flee their homes by disasters brought on by weather-related hazards such as floods and storms, and 1.7 million by geophysical hazards such as earthquakes.

“The millions of lives devastated by disasters is more often a consequence of bad man-made structures and policies, than the forces of mother nature,” said Jan Egeland, Secretary General of NRC. “A flood is not in itself a disaster, the catastrophic consequences happen when people are neither prepared nor protected when it hits.”

The report points to the man-made factors that drive an overall increasing trend in disaster displacement, like rapid economic development, urbanization and population growth in hazard prone areas. “These factors are a toxic mix, because when such hazards strike there are more homes and people in their path, and therefore flight becomes necessary for survival” said director of IDMC, Alfredo Zamudio.

Climate change is also expected to exacerbate the situation in the future, as severe weather hazards become more frequent and intense.The report argues that these drivers are increasing the number of people becoming displaced, and the risk that their displacement becomes a long-term problem. Today, the likelihood of being displaced by a disaster is 60% higher than it was four decades ago, and an analysis of 34 cases reveals that disaster displacement can last for up to 26 years.

People in both rich and poor countries can be caught in protracted, or long-term, displacement. In the US, over 56,000 people are still in need of housing assistance following Hurricane Sandy in 2012, and 230,000 people have been unable to establish new homes in Japan following the 2011 earthquake, tsunami and nuclear accident.

“Governments should prioritize measures to strengthen the resilience of people whose displacement risks becoming protracted, or has already become so,” said William Lacy Swing, director general of International Organization for Migration, which assisted in the data collection for the report. “If communities are strengthened and ready beforehand, with solid infrastructure, early warning systems, and other such measures, displacement can be used as a short term coping strategy, or at best be avoided altogether”.

The report comes at a crucial time this year as various past and future policy processes come together. These include the Sustainable Development Goals which are to be adopted in September, as well as ongoing preparations for the World Humanitarian Summit in 2016. What this report shows is how disaster displacement bridges all these policy processes.

“We can talk about sustainability, climate change and a reformed humanitarian architecture” said Zamudio, “but to ensure that all these policy processes turn into concrete action, we need to pay closer attention to those living on the front lines; in this case the millions of men, women and children currently on the run from disasters worldwide”.