Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Saturday:

87  Lihue, Kauai
89  Honolulu, Oahu
85  Molokai
89  Kahului, Maui 
88  Kailua Kona
86  Hilo, Hawaii

Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Saturday evening:

0.91  N Wailua ditch, Kauai
0.55  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
0.04  Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00  Lanai
0.00  Kahoolawe
0.29  Puu Kukui, Maui
0.17  Glenwood, Big Island

The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Saturday evening:

25  Port Allen, Kauai
36  Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
28  Molokai
36  Lanai
39  Kahoolawe
33  Kahului AP, Maui
31  Upolu AP, Big Island


Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.



Aloha Paragraphs




http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/ir4-animated.gif


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/hi/ir4.jpg

We find clear to partly cloudy skies statewide

The trade winds will remain strong and gusty…gradually
becoming lighter through the new week

These trades will bring a few windward showers, then localized
heavier rains and possible thunderstorms arriving tonight into
Monday – first on the Big Island…turning drier Tuesday onwards

There’s the chance that a tropical cyclone, being referred to now as
Invest 91E, might bring a change in weather later in the new week…the
computer models show the forecast tracks for what might occur

Small Craft Wind Advisory…for strong trade winds – windiest
coasts and channels around Maui County and the Big Island



~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~




Trade winds will be stronger than normal through this weekend…then gradually mellow-out through the new work week. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find a near 1027 millibar high pressure system to the northeast, with a ridge extending west-southwest from its center…well to the north of the state. There’s a gale low pressure system far to the north, with a cold front stretching south and southwestward from its center. There’s a low pressure system/trough aligned east to west…south of the state. Our trade winds are well established…and will remain stronger than normal for a few more days, and then ease up thereafter.
Satellite imagery shows clear to partly cloudy skies…with low clouds over the ocean to our north and south. Looking at this larger looping satellite image, it shows areas of thunderstorms over the ocean in the deeper tropics…the closest of which is southeast. There’s also an area of clouds over the ocean well to the northwest. Here’s the looping radar, showing light showers falling in only a few places, at least at the time of this writing. The forecast continues to show that windward showers are likely to increase, and become locally heavy in some places late Sunday into Monday…spreading to other parts of the islands here and there. This will occur due to the arrival of both an upper level low pressure, with its cold air aloft, and an influx of tropical moisture…combining forces. I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Saturday night wherever you happen to be spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.

Friday Evening Film: Hi, this time around I went to see one of the many films that are currently showing here on Maui, one that I hadn’t planned on seeing. My neighbors Jeff and Svetlana want to see this film, so I decided to see it with them. It’s called The Maze Runner, starring Dylan O’Brien, Will Poulter, Aml Ameen, Kaya Scodelario, and Ki Hong Lee…among many others. Here’s the synopsis: When Thomas wakes up trapped in a massive maze with a group of other boys, he has no memory of the outside world other than strange dreams about a mysterious organization known as W.C.K.D. Only by piecing together fragments of his past with clues he discovers in the maze can Thomas hope to uncover his true purpose and a way to escape. Based upon the best-selling novel by James Dashner.

~~~ I must admit that I wasn’t terribly excited to see this film, although as Jeff pointed out to me, the credits and the audience were pretty happy with it. So, I was willing to sit through it, and found it to be reasonably entertaining. However, I must say, I wasn’t all that taken with this film, and it was actually one of my least favorite of the year perhaps. As we discussed after seeing the film, all three of us were surprised at how disappointed we were with this presentation. I’m going to be fairly generous and give The Maze Runner a B-, as I found it not all that interesting, and actually quite dull in many places. Here’s the trailer for this film if you’re interested in checking it out, and it’s pretty intense…what else is new!


World-wide tropical cyclone activity:


>>> Atlantic Ocean: Tropical storm 07L (Fay) remains active, located approximately 165 miles northeast of Bermuda…with sustained winds of near 70 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image – and what the computer models are showing 



 


1.)  The small low pressure system located a couple of hundred
miles east of the Leeward Islands is continuing to show signs of
organization. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft will
be investigating the system this afternoon to determine if a
tropical depression or a tropical storm has formed. Environmental
and ocean conditions are expected to generally be conducive for
additional development while the low moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
Interests from the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico to Hispaniola and
the southeastern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system
since tropical storm warnings and watches could be required for
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
later this morning or afternoon. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds are expected to move across
the Leeward Islands starting later today. Here's what the computer models


are showing.


 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent 


* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent 



Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean 

>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones



>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones



Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico. 



>>> Eastern Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones


 


1.) Shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized in
association with a low pressure system located about 1300 miles
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for development of this disturbance during
the next several days while it moves westward or west-northwestward
at around 10 to 15 mph, and enters the central Pacific basin by
Monday morning. Here's what the computer models are showing.



* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent 


* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent 




Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.



Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) 



>>> Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones





Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)



>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean: Tropical Storm 19W (Vongfong)  remains active, located approximately 231 NM south-southwest of Sasebo, Japan…with sustained winds of near 63 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical  track map…along with a satellite image 



  >>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones


>>> North and South Indian Oceans: Tropical Cyclone 03B (Hudhud) is dissipating over India, located approximately 30 NM west-northwest of Visakhapatnam, India…with sustained winds of near 121 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical  track map…along with a satellite image – Final Warning

Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)


 


Interesting: Fish Forced Poleward – Large numbers of fish will disappear from the tropics by 2050, finds a new University of British Columbia study that examined the impact of climate change on fish stocks. The study identified ocean hotspots for local fish extinction but also found that changing temperatures will drive more fish into the Arctic and Antarctic waters.





Using the same climate change scenarios as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, researchers projected a large-scale shift of marine fish and invertebrates. In the worst-case scenario, where the Earth’s oceans warm by three degrees Celsius by 2100, fish could move away from their current habitats at a rate of 26 kilometers per decade. Under the best-case scenario, where the Earth warms by one degree Celsius, fish would move 15 kilometers every decade. This is consistent with changes in the last few decades.



“The tropics will be the overall losers,” says William Cheung, associate professor at the UBC Fisheries Center and co-author of this study, published today in ICES Journal of Marine Science. “This area has a high dependence on fish for food, diet and nutrition. We’ll see a loss of fish populations that are important to the fisheries and communities in these regions.”



Cheung and his colleague used modeling to predict how 802 commercially important species of fish and invertebrates react to warming water temperatures, other changing ocean properties, and new habitats opening up at the poles.



“As fish move to cooler waters, this generates new opportunities for fisheries in the Arctic,” says Miranda Jones, a UBC Nereus Fellow and lead author of this study. “On the other hand it means it could disrupt the species that live there now and increase competition for resources.”