Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Friday:
87 Lihue, Kauai
89 Honolulu, Oahu
86 Molokai
90 Kahului, Maui – record high temperature for Friday 94 degrees…in 1951
88 Kailua Kona
85 Hilo, Hawaii
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands, as of Friday evening:
0.30 N Wailua ditch, Kauai
0.32 Tunnel RG, Oahu
0.19 Puu Alii, Molokai
0.00 Lanai
0.00 Kahoolawe
0.38 Puu Kukui, Maui
0.31 Mountain View, Big Island
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph)…as of Friday evening:
18 Port Allen, Kauai
39 Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu
31 Molokai
38 Lanai
35 Kahoolawe
42 Kaupo Gap, Maui
35 Waikoloa, Big Island
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.
Aloha Paragraphs
We find clear to partly cloudy skies, with cloudy areas over
the islands…along with localized windward showers –
high cirrus clouds to the south
The trade winds will remain strong and gusty into the
weekend…gradually becoming lighter through the new
work week ahead
These trades will bring windward showers at times, with
heavier rains and possible thunderstorms arriving late
Sunday into Monday…then turning drier by mid-week
High Surf Advisory…north and west shores of Kauai, Oahu,
Molokai, and north shores of Maui – until 6pm this evening
Small Craft Wind Advisory…for large seas and stronger
trade winds – through 6pm this evening
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Trade winds will be stronger than normal into the weekend. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profiler of the central Pacific. We find a near 1021 millibar high pressure system to the northeast, with a ridge extending west-southwest from its center…to the north of the state. There’s a gale low pressure system far to the north-northeast, with a cold front stretching south and southwestward from its center. Our trade winds are well established…and will remain stronger than usual into the weekend.
Satellite imagery shows clear to partly cloudy skies…with some cloudy areas over the islands. Looking at this larger looping satellite image, it shows an area of high clouds to the south and southwest of the state…along with thunderstorms over the ocean in the deeper tropics. Here’s the looping radar, showing light to moderately heavy showers falling in places…which appear to be increasing along our windward sides locally. This trade wind weather pattern, with windward showers will stick around well into the future. The models are showing that these windward biased showers are likely to increase further, and become heavy late this weekend into early next week…spreading to other parts of the islands here and there. This will occur due to the arrival of both an upper level low pressure, with its cold air aloft, and an influx of tropical moisture…combining forces. I’ll be back with more updates on all of the above and below, I hope you have a great Friday night wherever you happen to be spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
Friday Evening Film: Hi, this time around I’ll be seeing one of the many films that are currently showing here on Maui, one that I hadn’t planned on seeing…although had a change of heart. My neighbors Jeff and Svetlana want to see this film, so I decided to see it with them. It’s called The Maze Runner, starring Dylan O’Brien, Will Poulter, Aml Ameen, Kaya Scodelario, and Ki Hong Lee…among many others. Here’s the synopsis: When Thomas wakes up trapped in a massive maze with a group of other boys, he has no memory of the outside world other than strange dreams about a mysterious organization known as W.C.K.D. Only by piecing together fragments of his past with clues he discovers in the maze can Thomas hope to uncover his true purpose and a way to escape. Based upon the best-selling novel by James Dashner.
~~~ I must admit that I’m not terribly excited to see this film, although as Jeff pointed out to me, the credits and the audience are pretty happy with it. So, I’m willing to sit through it, and will certainly let you know what I thought in the morning. Until then, here’s the trailer for this film if you’re interested in checking it out, it looks pretty intense…what else is new!
World-wide tropical cyclone activity:
>>> Atlantic Ocean: Tropical storm 07L (Fay) remains active, located approximately 305 miles south of Bermuda…with sustained winds of near 70 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image
1.) Disorganized shower activity continues in association with a
tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward
Islands. While no significant development of this system appears
likely during the next day or two, environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for tropical cyclone formation by early
next week. This disturbance should move generally west-
northwestward at about 10 mph during the next several days, and
interests in the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola should
monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent
2.) Widespread but disorganized showers and thunderstorms, located
several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands, are associated
with a westward-moving tropical wave. Upper-level winds are not
favorable, and significant development of this system remains
unlikely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
>>> Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea…and the Gulf of Mexico.
>>> Eastern Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones
1.) Disorganized but limited cloudiness and showers, associated with an
elongated trough of low pressure, extend from near the coast of
Nicaragua to a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. While development of this system is not likely during
the next couple of days, environmental conditions are expected to
become conducive for some gradual development of this disturbance by
the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
2.) Cloudiness and thunderstorms located about 1500 miles east- southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are associated with a surface trough. Environmental conditions are conducive for slow development of this system during the next several days while it moves westward or west-northwestward at around 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Here’s a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific…to the International Dateline.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
>>> Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
>>> Northwest Pacific Ocean: Typhoon 19W (Vongfong) remains active, located approximately 36 NM southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan…with sustained winds of near 86 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image
>>> South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
>>> North and South Indian Oceans: Tropical Cyclone 03B (Hudhud) remains active, located approximately 125 NM southeast of Visakhapatnam, India…with sustained winds of near 127 mph…with higher gusts. Here’s a graphical track map…along with a satellite image
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: Fish Forced Poleward – Large numbers of fish will disappear from the tropics by 2050, finds a new University of British Columbia study that examined the impact of climate change on fish stocks. The study identified ocean hotspots for local fish extinction but also found that changing temperatures will drive more fish into the Arctic and Antarctic waters.
Using the same climate change scenarios as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, researchers projected a large-scale shift of marine fish and invertebrates. In the worst-case scenario, where the Earth’s oceans warm by three degrees Celsius by 2100, fish could move away from their current habitats at a rate of 26 kilometers per decade. Under the best-case scenario, where the Earth warms by one degree Celsius, fish would move 15 kilometers every decade. This is consistent with changes in the last few decades.
“The tropics will be the overall losers,” says William Cheung, associate professor at the UBC Fisheries Center and co-author of this study, published today in ICES Journal of Marine Science. “This area has a high dependence on fish for food, diet and nutrition. We’ll see a loss of fish populations that are important to the fisheries and communities in these regions.”
Cheung and his colleague used modeling to predict how 802 commercially important species of fish and invertebrates react to warming water temperatures, other changing ocean properties, and new habitats opening up at the poles.
“As fish move to cooler waters, this generates new opportunities for fisheries in the Arctic,” says Miranda Jones, a UBC Nereus Fellow and lead author of this study. “On the other hand it means it could disrupt the species that live there now and increase competition for resources.”
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