Air Temperatures – The following maximum temperatures (F) were recorded across the state of Hawaii Saturday:
83 Lihue, Kauai
86 Honolulu, Oahu
89 Kahului, Maui
87 Kailua Kona
82 Hilo, Hawaii
Air Temperatures ranged between these warmest and coolest spots near sea level – and on the highest mountain tops on Maui and the Big Island…as of 910pm Saturday evening:
Kailua Kona – 80
Hana airport, Maui - 73
Haleakala Summit – 54 (near 10,000 feet on Maui)
Mauna Kea Summit – 43 (13,000+ feet on the Big Island)
Hawaii’s Mountains – Here’s a link to the live web cam on the summit of near 13,800 foot Mauna Kea on the Big Island of Hawaii. This web cam is available during the daylight hours here in the islands…and when there’s a big moon shining down during the night at times. Plus, during the nights you will be able to see stars, and the sunrise and sunset too… depending upon weather conditions.
East to east-southeast winds becoming lighter -
keeping muggy conditions in place, which will
feel very warm during the days…especially near
sea level again Sunday – strengthening trades
during the first half of the new week…becoming
strong and gusty later in the week
There will be some passing showers along the
windward sides…as well as in the upcountry
areas during the afternoon hours – some
could be quite generous Sunday
Looping satellite image…showing clouds being
carried along by the east to east-southeasterly
The following numbers represent the strongest wind gusts (mph), along with directions…as of Saturday evening
14 Poipu, Kauai – NE
20 Oahu Forest NWR, Oahu – NNE
22 Molokai – NE
22 Lanai – NE
28 Kahoolawe – E
16 Hana, Maui – SE
25 Pali 2, Big Island – NE
Here are the latest 24-hour precipitation totals (inches) for each of the islands…as of Saturday evening (845pm totals):
1.47 Mount Waialeale, Kauai
1.62 Tunnel RG, Oahu
0.79 Puu Kukui, Maui
0.75 Kawainui Stream, Big Island
We can use the following links to see what’s going on in our area of the north central Pacific Ocean. Here’s the latest NOAA satellite picture – the latest looping satellite image… and finally the latest looping radar image for the Hawaiian Islands.
~~~ Hawaii Weather Narrative ~~~
Our winds will be lighter than normal Sunday…and then gradually build back from the trade wind direction during the first part of the new work week. Here’s the latest weather map, showing the Hawaiian Islands, and the rest of the North Pacific Ocean, along with a real-time wind profile of the central Pacific…focused on the Hawaiian Islands. We have an area of moderately strong high pressure located to the northwest, and another to the northeast of the state. The winds will be lighter now, with daytime sea breezes in some areas. The wind direction has swung around to the east and east-southeast, bringing warm and muggy air into our area. The models suggest that this temporary weakening of the winds will rebound early in the new work week.
Satellite imagery shows low clouds over and around the islands….along with clouds over the offshore waters as well. Looking at this larger looping satellite image, it shows those low level clouds riding along in the east and even east-southeasterly wind flow. There are high cirrus clouds well offshore to the west…although they’re diminishing before arriving over our area. Here’s a looping radar image, showing passing showers arriving over our islands in some locations. The windward sides will receive most of these showers, although the leeward sides will find some falling on the smaller islands at times too. The central islands from Oahu down through Maui continue to have the most generous showers…at the time of this writing.
We’re in a modified convective pattern, which is sharing the stage with a lighter winded trade wind weather pattern. There are moisture areas which continue taking aim on our islands, bringing off and on passing showers. These showers are generally light to moderately heavy. The easing of the trade winds will bring another increase in afternoon convective clouds over our leeward slopes Sunday, with some showers falling from them locally. Likely many areas will clear out completely of clouds during the overnight hours. The more normal trade winds will start slowly rebounding in strength later Monday, likely lasting through the following week from there. I’ll be back again Sunday morning with your next new weather update, I hope you have a great Saturday night wherever you’re spending it! Aloha for now…Glenn.
Here on Maui, at the 3,100 foot elevation, at my upper Kula, Maui weather tower, the air temperature was a 56.1 degrees at 555am on this Saturday morning. Skies are mostly clear over the island, with just some clouds around the edges from here…especially along the windward sides. The West Maui Mountains are mostly clear too, which is a little unusual, although lines up with the lighter winds that we’re experiencing today. The clouds over the mountains will stack-up later today, leading to some showers locally.
We’re into the early afternoon hours now at 115pm, under partly cloudy skies, light breezes, no rain…and an air temperature of 79.3 degrees. I just got back from my weekly food shopping down in Paia, where there was lots of sunshine and very warm temperatures. As I was driving back upcountry, I could see some impressive clouds forming over and around the Haleakala Crater, big dark ones around in places. At the moment, the clouds have parted some, and warm sunshine is beaming down. I’m still expecting the clouds to close in later, and likely drop some showers, we’ll see. Update at 155pm, its very cloudy, and rain just started to fall…although the temperature hasn’t yet at 79.5 degrees. Update at 230pm, its very dark, cloudy, raining, and the air temperature has quickly fallen to 74.8 degrees. Now at 320pm, it’s pouring rain…its so nice!
It’s now 540pm in the early evening hours, under cloudy to partly cloudy skies, near calm winds, a light rain shower…and an air temperature of 72 degrees. It was a nice day, transitioning from totally clear this morning, to partly to mostly cloudy during the afternoon hours…with off and on light to moderately heavy showers falling. I expect a repeat performance Sunday, although it looks like the showers may become more generous during the afternoon hours. The beaches should continue to see really nice weather, with the trade winds reaching their lightest Sunday and Monday…before gradually increasing thereafter. Update at 645pm, dense fog has settled in over my area, 70 degrees…so soft and lovely!
Friday Evening Film: There were a couple films in the running for the Friday evening choice, although I decided on one that wasn’t brand new, and less likely to have a crowded theater. It was called Jersey Boys, starring Christopher Walken, Francesca Eastwood, John Lloyd Young, Michael Lomenda, Erich Bergen, Vincent Piazza, and Steven R. Schirripa…among many others. The synopsis: Clint Eastwood’s big screen version of the Tony Award-winning musical tells the story of the four young men from the wrong side of the tracks in New Jersey, who came together to form the iconic `60s rock group The Four Seasons. Their trials and triumphs are accompanied by the hit songs that influenced a generation, and are now being embraced by a new generation of fans through the stage musical.
The critics are giving this film a just alright 54% liking, while the audience is upping that to a more respectable 72% rating. I was looking forward to the powerful pleasures of its musical moments, and wasn’t let down in that regard. Most of these songs were slightly before my time, although not by much. It was fun to look back into those earlier days, a much different time than our current reality…that’s for sure! I ended up liking this film more than I thought I was going to, as it was more touching than I had expected. I didn’t find any tears rolling down my cheeks, although the actors brought me into the emotionality of their plights…and delights too. Clint Eastwood was the Director, and I think he did a terrific job in taking the audience behind the scenes of the music business in that day and age. This film got into my heart and soul, and had me tapping my foot on the floor many times, which felt great! If this all sounds well and fine, try taking a look at the trailer for this film…which I gave a strong B+ grade.
World-wide tropical cyclone activity:
Atlantic Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
A low pressure system located about 230 miles east of Jacksonville,
Florida, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms
as it moves slowly southward. Upper-level winds are only marginally
favorable, and proximity to dry air to the north of the disturbance
could inhibit formation of a tropical cyclone over the next couple
of days. By Wednesday, however, environmental conditions are
expected to become more conducive for development of this system
while it drifts southward and meanders offshore of the Florida east
coast. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled
to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary.
Here’s a satellite image showing this area...along with what the hurricane models are showing for what's being referred to as Invest 91L
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…near 40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…near 70 percent.
Here's a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
Caribbean Sea: There are no active tropical cyclones expected through the next 5 days
Gulf of Mexico: There are no active tropical cyclones expected through the next 5 days
Here's a satellite image of the Caribbean Sea...and the Gulf of Mexico.
Here's the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
North Eastern Pacific: Tropical Depression 04E is now active, and will be strengthening into Tropical Storm Douglas by Sunday. Here's the NHC graphical track map...along with a satellite image. Here's what the hurricane models are showing for this tropical cyclone.
Meanwhile, a weak area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south- southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at around 10 mph. The proximity of this disturbance to Tropical Depression Four-E may limit development during the next couple of days, but environmental conditions are expected to become favorable for slow development after that time.
Here's a satellite image showing TD 04E...and this area to the east-southeast. Here's what
the hurricane models are showing for what's being referred to as Invest 97E.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Here's a wide satellite image that covers the entire area between Mexico, out through the central Pacific...to the International Dateline.
Central Pacific Ocean: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next two days
Here's a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Northwest Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
South Pacific Ocean: There are no active tropical cyclones
North and South Indian Oceans: There are no active tropical cyclones
Here's a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
Interesting: Connecting population growth and biodiversity decline - It took humans around 200,000 years to reach a global population of one billion. But, in two hundred years we've septupled that. In fact, over the last 40 years we've added an extra billion approximately every dozen years. And the United Nations predicts we'll add another four billion—for a total of 11 billion—by century's end. Despite this few scientists, policymakers, or even environmentalists are willing to publicly connect incredible population growth to worsening climate change, biodiversity loss, resource scarcity, or the global environmental crisis in general.
"We are already to a point where our population size is unsustainable," Jeffrey McKee with the Ohio State University said." "In other words, we are already beyond the point of the biological concept of 'carrying capacity.' Millions of people go hungry every day, and an unfathomable number don’t even have access to clean drinking water. A world of 11 billion people would be regrettable to humans as well as to other species."
McKee has recently studied the intersection between human population and biodiversity decline, finding a direct correlation between the rate of population growth and the number of endangered species in a country.
Meanwhile another researcher, geographer Camila Mora with the University of Hawaii, recently argued in a paper in Ecology and Society that overpopulation was exacerbating global warming, the biodiversity crisis, as well as creating large-scale economic and societal problems.
But if our population is already beyond sustainable, why has the subject become almost taboo? And not just in political circles, but even in environmental circles?
"There are multiple reasons including historical flip-flops about [overpopulation's] importance" Mora said." "However, the fact that we're not interested in talking about it it does not make it less critical."
For decades scientists have been warning that the world may well be entering a period of mass extinction with untold consequences for human societies and the natural world. While the drivers of global biodiversity decline are many and complicated—including habitat destruction, deforestation, over-exploitation of species, climate change, and ocean acidification—they are also underpinned by one simple fact: the human population continues to boom.
"It is simple math," Mora mentioned." "We live in a world with limited resources and space. The more we use and take the less other species have. Today some 20,000 species may be driven to extinctions due to habitat loss alone."